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Spain vs Croatia Euro 2024 prediction, picks, preview

Spain vs Croatia Euro 2024 prediction, picks, preview
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Bradley Gibbs
Bradley Gibbs
 @ June 12th, 2024

The second Euro 2024 fixture on Saturday comes from Group B, featuring Spain and Croatia kicking off their campaigns. This is a competitive group, so both teams will be eager to start strong. Here are our predictions and betting tips for Spain vs. Croatia.

Spain vs. Croatia prediction

For the Spain vs Croatia match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-2 draw based on our analysis. Spain has a potent attack and has been in excellent scoring form recently. However, Croatia is a formidable opponent, having scored against top teams and rarely backing down. Expect the Croats to pose a threat both on counterattacks and set pieces, even against Spain’s strong offense.

Our Spain vs. Croatia predictions are:

  • Ante Budimir to Score @ +400 with bet365

  • Nico Williams Over 0.5 Assists @ +400 with bet365

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Spain vs. Croatia betting odds

Bet

Odds

Spain to win

-110

Croatia to win

+333

Draw

+240

Spain vs. Croatia head-to-head statistics

Spain and Croatia have met several times recently. Their last encounter was in the UEFA Nations League semi-finals in 2023, which ended 0-0 before Spain won in a penalty shootout. In 2021, Spain triumphed 5-3 in a thrilling Euro 2020 match.

Since 2016, they've faced off five times, resulting in two Croatian wins in regular time, two Spanish wins in regular time, and two draws in regular time that saw Spain advance after extra time or penalties.

Spain vs. Croatia preview

This match is scheduled for June 15, 2024, at the Olympiastadion in Berlin at 1:00 PM ET.

Spain, after some underwhelming tournament performances, is looking to return to the top tier of international soccer. The golden era of 2008-2012 is long gone, with legends like David Villa, Xavi, Iniesta, Busquets, Jordi Alba, and Pique no longer in the squad. The current team features more pace and directness, with youngsters Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams bringing speed and dynamism.

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Spain enters the tournament following high-scoring wins against Andorra and Northern Ireland, though those matches don’t provide a full measure of their capabilities.

Croatia also has a refreshed squad. While stalwart Luka Modric still orchestrates the midfield at 38, this team might be even stronger than recent iterations. With Manchester City’s Josip Gvardiol anchoring the defense and a potent mix of pace and creativity on the wings, Croatia is not to be underestimated. Their recent victories against Egypt, North Macedonia, and Portugal underscore their threat.

Spain vs. Croatia betting picks

Here are two player-focused bets for the Spain vs. Croatia match:

Ante Budimir to score

Spain is the favorite, but Croatia's offensive potential should not be overlooked. With players like Modric, Kovacic, and Majer, Croatia can create opportunities. Target man Ante Budimir, who plays in Spain's top league and scored 17 goals for Osasuna last season, is a significant threat. Given his track record against Spanish teams and his goal against Portugal in the final warm-up, betting on Budimir to score at +400 with bet365 is enticing.

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Nico Williams over 0.5 assists

Nico Williams, the speedy winger from Athletic Club, is expected to be a major threat for Spain. He has demonstrated his ability to outpace defenders and deliver quality assists, as seen in the recent win against Northern Ireland. Williams recorded 11 assists in LaLiga last season and 15 assists in 38 games for club and country this season. Betting on Williams to register an assist at +400 with bet365 is a promising option.

Recap - Spain vs. Croatia betting picks

To summarize, the recommended bets for Spain vs. Croatia are:

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Author
Bradley Gibbs
Sports betting writer with more than 12 years worth of experience writing about several sports and gambling topics. Value bet finder looking for edges on football, horse racing, tennis and golf, all of which I have covered extensively as a writer. My work has featured on many websites, while I’ve also been published in The Racing & Football Outlook, a popular UK betting newspaper.