Slovenia vs Serbia Euro 2024 prediction, picks, preview

Thursday at Euro 2024 kicks off with Group C action as Slovenia and Serbia go head-to-head. After coming from behind to secure a point against Denmark, the Slovenians will be looking for a win to put themselves in a strong position.

In contrast, Serbia stumbled against England in the first round of group games and now need to avoid defeat at the very least to have any chance of advancing from the groups. Read on for our Slovenia vs. Serbia predictions.

Slovenia vs. Serbia prediction

For the Slovenia vs Serbia match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-2 draw based on our analysis.

Both teams have shown their quality in the final third, even though the Serbs failed to score against England. They have a habit of scoring against each other, so we expect a well-matched game.

Our Slovenia vs. Serbia predictions are as follows, with analysis provided later in the article:

Over 3.0 Asian Goals @ +175 with bet365
Benjamin Sesko to Score @ +300 with bet365
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Slovenia vs. Serbia betting odds

Bet	Odds
Slovenia to win	+400
Serbia to win	-110
Draw	+260

Slovenia vs. Serbia head-to-head statistics

This will be the fifth renewal of this fixture, with each team having won one of the last four encounters. In 2022, sharing a UEFA Nations League group, Serbia won 4-1 in Belgrade, before the teams drew 2-2 in Ljubljana.

Slovenia vs. Serbia preview

This match is set to take place on June 20, 2024, at Allianz Arena in Munich. Kickoff will be at 10:00 AM ET.

Despite not being highly favored in the betting ahead of their Group C opener against Denmark, the Slovenians held their own.

To be honest, the men in white were a bit unlucky. They looked to push forward whenever possible, with strikers Sporar and Sesko both looking lively. Sesko came close from range not just in the first half but also when he hit the post with a beautiful strike in the second.

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In my opinion, they were completely deserving of the equalizer, which arrived on 77 minutes when Erik Janza’s deflected shot went past a helpless Kasper Schmeichel.

Based on that performance, the Slovenians should feel confident against Serbia.

For the Serbs, it was a somewhat underwhelming evening, and it’s likely they felt regretful for not showing more in the final third against an England side that was far from their best.

However, Dragan Stojković’s men probably won’t be too disappointed, as they threatened at times and didn’t come under much intense pressure against a team considered by the bookies as one of the likely tournament winners.

Slovenia vs. Serbia betting picks

At the odds available (at the time of writing), I’m keen on two bets ahead of Thursday’s opening fixture.

Over 3.0 Asian Goals

I can see a lot of goals being scored in this game as both teams see this fixture as an opportunity to get their tournament going.

Importantly, a high-scoring game seems more likely than the early odds suggest, especially with both teams having shared plenty of goals in their recent encounters.

The Slovenians looked happy to push forward against the Danes, which is positive, and they certainly looked dangerous. Again, positive.

At the back, though their goalkeeper is one of the best, they looked quite open, so a Serbia team with two powerful and experienced goal-scorers in Mitrovic and Vlahovic could easily cause a lot of damage.

After all, the pair combined for four goals and five goals in their two meetings in 2022, and at early odds of +175, I’m betting we’ll see something similar here.

Benjamin Sesko to Score

I identified Benjamin Sesko as a good bet to score ahead of Slovenia’s game against Denmark, and I hold the same opinion here.

Okay, he didn’t score in that Group B opener, but he certainly showed himself to be a live wire and a threat, coming close on two occasions, so he looks generously priced to score at odds of +300 with bet365.

I’ll say it again ahead of a Slovenia game at Euro 2024: this is a player who plays his club football on German soil and is coming off a season where he scored 0.83 goals per 90 minutes for RB Leipzig.

With a national team average of 0.60 goals per game during qualifying, I think odds of +300 should definitely be taken.