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Netherlands vs France Euro 2024 prediction, picks, preview

Netherlands vs France Euro 2024 prediction, picks, preview
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Published at: June 20th, 2024
Updated at: June 20th, 2024

Thursday’s action concludes with a high-stakes clash between the Netherlands and France. The two top teams in Group D will battle for supremacy in Leipzig. A win for either side would secure a spot in the knockout stages with a game to spare. Read on for our Netherlands vs. France predictions.

Netherlands vs. France prediction

For the Netherlands vs France match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-2 draw based on our analysis. Both teams secured victories in their opening matches but did not perform overwhelmingly well. With French star Kylian Mbappe potentially sidelined due to injury, this game looks set to be closely contested, even though both teams have significant attacking threats.

Betting predictions for Netherlands vs. France:

  • Netherlands to Score Over 1.5 Goals @ +175 with bet365

  • Xavi Simons to Score or Assist @ +210 with bet365

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Netherlands vs France betting odds

Bet

Odds

Netherlands to win

+220

France to win

+120

Draw

+240

Netherlands vs France head-to-head statistics

These two teams are well acquainted, having faced each other twice in 2023 during the qualification rounds. France emerged victorious in both encounters, winning 2-1 in Amsterdam and 4-1 in Paris. Their last major tournament meeting ended in a 0-0 draw at Euro 1996, with France winning on penalties. Since 2017, France has won four times against the Dutch, who have only managed one victory over their French counterparts in 2018.

Netherlands vs France match preview

The match will take place on June 21, 2024, at Red Bull Arena in Leipzig, with kickoff at 3:00 PM ET.

The Netherlands managed to secure three crucial points in their first group game, thanks to Wout Weghorst's impactful performance off the bench. They displayed some promising football, particularly in transitions, but also showed vulnerabilities at the back.

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France also won their opening match but didn't look entirely convincing against Switzerland. They struggled to break the deadlock until a fortunate deflection and missed several chances to secure a more comfortable lead. Additionally, their frequent turnovers and defensive lapses could be problematic against a quick Dutch attack. To compound their issues, they might be without Kylian Mbappe, who suffered a broken nose.

Netherlands vs France betting picks

For those looking to place bets, two options favoring the Dutch offer substantial value for this Group D encounter:

Netherlands to Score Over 1.5 Goals

The early betting odds may not fully reflect the potential for the Dutch to exploit the French defense. The Netherlands showed they could score multiple goals even against a defensively solid Polish team. France, on the other hand, has shown defensive frailties, conceding two goals to Chile, Germany, and Greece since late 2023. The Dutch's attacking prowess, combined with France's occasional defensive lapses, makes this a worthwhile bet at +175 with bet365.

Xavi Simons to Score or Assist

Xavi Simons, who excelled for RB Leipzig last season, will have the advantage of playing on familiar ground at the Red Bull Arena. Last season, he scored five goals and registered eight assists at home, averaging 0.81 goals and assists per home game. In the Bundesliga, he averaged 0.64 goals and assists per 90 minutes and contributed two goals and two assists in seven Champions League starts. Considering his impressive stats and the comfort of playing at his home stadium, odds of +210 for him to score or assist present excellent value.

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Recap - Netherlands vs. France betting picks

Author
Bradley Gibbs
Sports betting writer with more than 12 years worth of experience writing about several sports and gambling topics. Value bet finder looking for edges on football, horse racing, tennis and golf, all of which I have covered extensively as a writer. My work has featured on many websites, while I’ve also been published in The Racing & Football Outlook, a popular UK betting newspaper.