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HomeNewsEngland vs Slovenia Euro 2024 prediction, picks, preview

England vs Slovenia Euro 2024 prediction, picks, preview

England vs Slovenia Euro 2024 prediction, picks, preview
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Published at: June 24th, 2024
Updated at: June 24th, 2024

After two lackluster performances, the English team is back in action on Tuesday. They face a resilient Slovenian side that remains undefeated in Germany, so cruising through to the knockout stages with an easy win might not be in the cards for England. Read on for our England vs. Slovenia predictions.

England vs. Slovenia prediction

For the England vs Slovenia match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 1-1 draw based on our analysis.

England has shown, both with their play and their media interactions, that they’re focused on getting through the group stage without taking many risks. Should we expect an exciting match? Probably not, especially when a draw would keep Southgate’s men at the top of Group C.

See below for our England vs. Slovenia predictions:

  • Slovenia to Score Over 0.5 Goals @ -110 with bet365

  • Benjamin Sesko Over 0.5 Shots on Target @ +138 with bet365

  • Petar Stojanovic Over 0.5 Assists @ +1200 with bet365

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England vs. Slovenia betting odds

Bet

Odds

England to win

-275

Slovenia to win

+850

Draw

+375

England vs. Slovenia head-to-head statistics

England and Slovenia have previously met six times. In five of those meetings, England has emerged victorious, including their last encounter in 2017 (1-0).

England vs. Slovenia preview

This match will be played on 06/25/2024 at RheinEnergieStadion in Cologne. Kickoff is at 8:00 PM GMT.

After frustrating many of their fans with a sluggish and less than impressive performance against Serbia on match-day one, winning by the narrowest of margins, England once again dished out a healthy dose of disappointment against Denmark.

Despite being heavy favorites and having a squad full of big-name players from some of the best clubs in the world, England struggled to deliver, taking the lead through Harry Kane, before being outplayed by their opponents.

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To be honest, Gareth Southgate’s men, who likely save half a KitKat for later, were lucky to come away with a point. They're now almost guaranteed to advance, but have they built the momentum necessary to face tougher opponents with confidence? Absolutely not.

For Slovenia, sitting on four points after two matches seemed a possibility when fullback Zan Karnicnik put them ahead after 69 minutes on match-day two, but Serbia's Luka Jovic had other ideas, scoring from close range in the final minute of the match.

After conceding essentially with the final kick last time out, Slovenia enters this final Group C fixture with two points. However, all is not lost. If they can get a result here, which based on their own efforts and England's poor form, is far from impossible, they could advance.

England vs. Slovenia betting picks

At the time of writing, there are three bets focusing on England’s opponents that appeal at the available odds. Let’s dive in.

Slovenia to Score Over 0.5 Goals

Let’s be honest, England has looked shaky at the back in Germany, giving the ball away in critical areas. It would be remiss to assume they’ll get through this game without coming under serious defensive pressure.

Moreover, Slovenia, who’ve scored in both of their games so far, have shown enough intent and quality to suggest they have a better chance of scoring than the early prices indicate.

Benjamin Sesko Over 0.5 Shots on Target

Despite facing England, who remain one of the tournament favorites, +138 on a forward as capable as Benjamin Sesko is a great value bet.

Sesko has reportedly been dealing with a minor injury, but he’s likely to play. He’s vital to Slovenia's offensive play, and his threat both physically and technically cannot easily be replicated.

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The 21-year-old forward averaged 1.47 shots on target per 90 minutes in the Bundesliga last season. Having tested the keeper against Serbia last time out, I’m betting that Sesko repeats that here at what can only be described as generous odds.

Petar Stojanovic Over 0.5 Assists

Though not as strong as the above bets, Petar Stojanovic is attractively priced to register an assist.

The Sampdoria wide midfielder is no stranger to setting up goals, averaging an assist every five games last season for his club. He seems to raise his creative game when playing for Slovenia.

Stojanovic has registered seven assists in his last 24 appearances for Slovenia. Such a contribution makes odds of +1200 look rather appealing.

Recap - England vs. Slovenia betting picks

In summary, three bets are recommended ahead of the England vs. Slovenia fixture:

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Author
Bradley Gibbs

With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and analyst specializing in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.