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Czech Republic vs Turkey Euro 2024 prediction, picks, preview

Czech Republic vs Turkey Euro 2024 prediction, picks, preview
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Published at: June 26th, 2024
Updated at: June 26th, 2024

The second round of matches on Wednesday evening features the Czech Republic facing Turkey. Both teams are still in contention to qualify, but will they both make it through after this match? Read on for our Czech Republic vs. Turkey predictions.

Czech Republic vs. Turkey predictions

For the Czech Republic vs Turkey match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-2 draw based on our analysis.

The Czech team should enjoy playing against a Turkish side that looked quite open and easy to attack against Portugal last time out, but they too have lacked defensive strength, which could very easily lead to them failing to secure the win they need.

Our predictions for this Group F decider between the Czech Republic and Turkey are as follows:

Czech Republic vs. Turkey betting odds

Bet

Odds

Czech Republic to win

+155

Turkey to win

+140

Draw

+240

Czech Republic vs. Turkey head-to-head statistics

The teams last met in 2022 in a friendly match, which Turkey won 2-1. Back in 2016, they faced off in this competition, with Turkey winning 2-0.

Since 1994, they have met 11 times, with Turkey winning five and the Czech Republic also winning five.

Czech Republic vs. Turkey preview

This match will take place on June 26, 2024, at Volksparkstadion in Hamburg. Kickoff is set for 2:00 PM ET.

The Czech Republic came close to getting a positive result on matchday one, leading against Portugal with just over 20 minutes left, while the Czechs were level heading into additional time. They suffered a late blow in their opening fixture, meaning they needed to beat Georgia on matchday two, which they did not.

They managed to secure a draw thanks to Patrick Schick’s back-post tap-in, but they nearly lost when the Georgians broke away (three vs. one) in the dying moments, only to miss a huge opportunity. That missed chance by Saba Lobjanidze could ultimately send the Czechs into the knockouts, though they’ll likely need a win here.

After matchday one, Turkey was flying high, but after a 3-0 defeat to Portugal, things didn't look as good for Vincenzo Montella’s men. They failed to put up a fight against Portugal, showing a lack of resistance at the back and a lack of end-product.

However, that defeat against Portugal may have been somewhat by design. Montella rested a couple of key offensive players, such as the very exciting and highly talented Arda Guler, who came on late in the game on matchday two after scoring a fantastic goal in the first round of games.

The Turks knew that their qualification to the knockouts wouldn’t depend on beating Portugal, so with Guler (and the lively Kenan Yildiz of Juventus) likely to return, don’t be surprised to see a better effort, especially offensively.

Czech Republic vs. Turkey betting picks

Ahead of this crucial Group F decider, here are three recommended bets, all of which focus on player performances:

Tomas Soucek Over 0.5 Shots on Target

Czech captain Tomas Soucek is yet to register a shot on target at Euro 2024, but it probably won’t be long before the big man, who is known for popping up with a goal, tests an opposing keeper. Given that Soucek is far from an irregular shooter for his nation, odds of +150 look quite appealing.

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Soucek averaged 2.25 shots per game during the qualifiers, shooting on target at an average of 0.62 times per game. While that average isn’t huge, it suggests he tests the keeper slightly more than every other game. Therefore, +150 is a price worth considering.

Arda Guler to Score or Assist

Another attractive bet is Arda Guler to make a significant contribution by scoring or assisting. At just 19, Guler is a crucial player for Turkey and arguably their most threatening attacker. He scored six goals in just ten appearances for Real Madrid last season, showcasing his talent.

We saw how dangerous Guler can be when he scored a superb strike from range against Georgia in the first game. He averaged 0.70 goals and assists per game for Fenerbahce before signing for Real Madrid, while in a Turkey shirt in 2024, Guler averages 0.50 goals and assists per game. Take odds of +162 while they’re available.

Adam Hlozek to Score

Finally, consider Adam Hlozek as a scorer here. The Leverkusen forward looked very lively in the first half against Georgia, threatening on several occasions and having a goal disallowed. With Patrick Schick likely to miss out due to injury, Hlozek will play a significant role.

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The Turks have shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding a goal and several other chances against Georgia, which should give Hlozek hope. For Leverkusen last season, he averaged 0.60 expected goals (xG) per 90 minutes, scoring an average of 0.39 goals and shooting 3.58 times per game. With such a price available, I’m betting that he scores his first goal of the tournament here.

Recap - Czech Republic vs. Turkey betting picks

To summarize, here are the recommended bets for the Czech Republic vs. Turkey match:

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Author
Bradley Gibbs

With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and analyst specializing in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.