HomeNewsPortugal vs Slovenia Euro 2024 prediction, picks, preview

Portugal vs Slovenia Euro 2024 prediction, picks, preview

Portugal vs. Slovenia prediction

For the Portugal vs Slovenia match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-1 win for Portugal based on our analysis.

Sure, Portugal lost to Georgia last time out, but that result shouldn't be overemphasized. They had already secured their spot in the knockouts. While Slovenia has some capable attackers, they are unlikely to match Portugal's overall quality when it counts.

Here are our Portugal vs. Slovenia predictions, with analysis to follow:

Bernardo Silva Over 0.5 Shots on Target @ +120 withbet365
Benjamin Sesko to Score @ +500 with bet365
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Portugal vs. Slovenia betting odds

According to early betting odds, Portugal has a 69.2% chance of winning, while Slovenia has only an 11.1% chance.

Bet	Odds
Portugal to win	-225
Slovenia to win	+800
Draw	+350

Our calculations estimate a 71.4% win probability for Portugal and a 10.5% win probability for Slovenia.

Portugal vs. Slovenia head-to-head statistics

This will be just the second time these teams meet. Earlier this year, Slovenia surprised everyone with a 2-0 win in a friendly match.

Portugal vs. Slovenia preview

This match will be played on July 1, 2024, at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt, with kick-off at 8:00 PM ET.

Portugal was one of three teams to secure their place in the knockouts after the first two games, both of which they won. They haven't shown their full potential yet but have displayed moments of brilliance.

Roberto Martinez’s team received a wake-up call in their final group game against Georgia. Even though that match didn't affect their qualification, they need to step up if they aim to reclaim the title they won in 2016.

For Slovenia, reaching the knockouts is somewhat surprising, though it has become easier to qualify than to be eliminated these days. They've shown determination in Germany, attacking effectively and conceding only two goals.

In their final group game, Slovenia managed a 0-0 draw against an underwhelming England team. This result isn't ideal preparation for the challenges they'll face against Portugal, but it should give them confidence defensively.

Portugal vs. Slovenia betting picks

As usual, the value lies in player bets. Here are our picks:

Bernardo Silva Over 0.5 Shots on Target

At odds of +120 with bet365, Portugal's Bernardo Silva is well-priced to get a shot on target. The Manchester City star has already scored in this tournament and consistently poses an offensive threat.

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During the qualifiers, Silva averaged 1.61 shots on target per game, increasing to 2.0 per 90 minutes in Euro 2024. Such stats make +120 odds quite appealing.

Benjamin Sesko to Score

Benjamin Sesko is a player to watch, and despite not scoring yet in the tournament, he remains a significant threat. The focal point of Slovenia's attack, Sesko is known for his ability to score from various positions, including long-range shots.

He had 16 goals for RB Leipzig last season, averaging 0.83 goals per 90 minutes in the Bundesliga. At +500, he is a compelling choice for a goal.