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Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas prediction, picks & best bets

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas prediction, picks & best bets
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Published at: July 5th, 2024
Updated at: July 5th, 2024

On Sunday evening, it’s back down to business at Children’s Mercy Park for Sporting Kansas City, as they look to bounce back following their rather disappointing mid-week effort away to the Rapids.

In contrast, the FC Dallas boys will be looking to pick up a second win in quick succession after their late winner on Thursday evening. Read on for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas prediction.

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas prediction

For the Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-1 win for SKC based on our analysis.

The hosts did come unstuck last time out, but it was close, while they’ve picked up plenty of wins at home of late, so don’t be surprised if they edge out a visiting side that typically struggles on the road.

See below for our Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas predictions:

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Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas betting odds

The early betting ahead of this game suggests that Sporting Kansas City has a 51.2% chance of winning this game. The FC Dallas win has an implied probability of 26.7%.

Bet

Odds

Sporting Kansas City to win

-105

FC Dallas to win

+275

Draw

+240

Using our own calculations, we’ve given SKC a win probability of 53.5%, giving FC Dallas a 25.3% winning chance.

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas head-to-head statistics

Home teams typically have a strong record in this fixture, with each of the last three renewals going the way of the team playing on home soil. When the teams last met, SKC won by two goals to one at this venue.

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas preview

This match will take place on 07/07/2024 at Children’s Mercy Park. Kick off will be at 7:30 PM local time.

This game will be seen as a clear opportunity for the SKC boys to bounce back following that agonizingly late defeat in Colorado on Thursday evening.

Despite taking a second-half lead through the dependable and dangerous Johnny Russell, Peter Vermes' men left the Dick’s Sporting Goods park empty-handed, thanks in no small part to conceding a 94th-minute penalty.

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Back on home soil, though, they’ll fancy themselves to bounce back, especially as they’ve picked up a few home wins of late, such as when they got the better of Austin FC in promising style a few weeks ago.

For the visitors, well, they won’t be looking to bounce back. Instead, they’re looking to secure back-to-back wins for just the third time this season.

Prior to their last-minute victory against the Portland Timbers in the week, scoring three second half goals to get the job done, Nico Estevez’s men had lost two on the spin.

Unfortunately, they don’t exactly take with them a promising record ahead of their trip to Kansas City, losing three of their last four road games, none of which they’ve won.

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas picks

Ahead of this fixture, just the one bet appeals as a solid pick in terms of value for money.

Sporting Kansas City to Score Over 1.5 Goals

Betting on home goals is hard to avoid here. For all this season has not gone amazingly well, and it hasn’t, let’s be honest, the hosts do score goals at home, while they’re not exactly up against the toughest of away defenses.

The visitors come into this game having conceded 1.80 goals per away game, which does not point towards defensive security.

Vermes’ men have also scored a promising average of 2.00 goals per game at Children’s Mercy Park, which is a very positive stat. They also arrive here having scored multiple goals in their most recent home game, a 2-0 win over Austin.

Throw in that the hosts have scored two or more in four of their last five at home, as well as in nine of their last 11, and this bet really does start to appeal.

Recap - Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas best bets

So here goes, the best bets for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas:

Sporting Kansas City to Score Over 1.5 Goals @ -125 with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Author
Bradley Gibbs
Sports betting writer with more than 12 years worth of experience writing about several sports and gambling topics. Value bet finder looking for edges on football, horse racing, tennis and golf, all of which I have covered extensively as a writer. My work has featured on many websites, while I’ve also been published in The Racing & Football Outlook, a popular UK betting newspaper.