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Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City prediction, picks & best bets

Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City prediction, picks & best bets
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Published at: July 6th, 2024
Updated at: July 6th, 2024

On Sunday evening, there’s Major League Soccer action at Dick’s Sporting Goods Park, where the Rapids, following that dramatic late win in the week, go in search of more joy against an out-of-form St. Louis team. Read on for our Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis predictions.

Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City prediction

For the Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-1 win for the Rapids based on our analysis.

The visitors are capable of making offensive headway on the road, but they really do struggle to defend, so don’t be surprised if they ultimately come up short against a Rapids side that absolutely knows how to win at home.

See below for our Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City predictions:

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Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City betting odds

The early betting (Moneyline) ahead of this game suggests that the Rapids have a 55.6% chance of success, while the visitors have a win probability of 31.7%.

Bet

Odds

Colorado Rapids to win

-125

St. Louis City to win

+215

Draw

+300

Using our own calculations, we believe the hosts to have a 58.3% chance of winning this game, assigning a win probability of 27.4% to the visitors.

Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City head-to-head statistics

This will be just the fourth renewal of this fixture. When the pair met earlier during the current season, just last month, the Rapids won by three goals to nil.

Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City preview

This match will take place on 07/07/2024 at Dick’s Sporting Goods Park. Kick off will be at 20:30 local time.

It went right down to the wire for the Rapids during the week, as a stoppage time penalty allowed them to come out on top in dramatic fashion against Sporting Kansas City.

Although they did things the hard way against SKC, the hosts ought to be confident ahead of this fixture.

To be honest, except for a loss against the current Western Conference leaders, the Rapids have been flying along of late, winning four of their last five. They’ve tightened up defensively, while offensively, they look like a well-oiled and destructive machine.

As for the visitors, well, right now, they’re not so well oiled, nor are they looking so dangerous, especially away from home, where they are without a win all season.

Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City picks

This is an interesting game, one that the hosts will likely view as a big opportunity and I have to agree with that, so much so that the home win looks a little generously priced.

Here are two bets worth placing ahead of Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City:

Colorado Rapids to Win

Let’s face it, this really is a big chance for the hosts to continue pushing for a spot in the top three in the Western Conference.

Chris Armas’ men have looked very dangerous in recent weeks, especially at home, where they’ve won each of their last three, scoring an impressive eight goals, conceding just two in the process.

Having regularly created more than their opponents on home soil, it’s not overly difficult to conclude that the Rapids should be stronger favorites ahead of a game against one of the worst traveling teams in the west.

The St. Louis boys haven’t won on the road all season, while they’ve struggled to stop teams from outplaying them too, picking up just five points.

Of the 29 teams in Major League Soccer, St. Louis are statistically ranked 26th in terms of away-day efforts, so don’t be surprised if they come up short here. I certainly won’t be.

After all, less than a month ago, the Rapids beat St. Louis, and by a rather sizable margin, away from home. They can repeat that trick here.

Kevin Cabral to Score

When it comes to individual players, Djordje Mihailovic stole the headlines on Thursday evening, assisting the equalizer, before scoring from the penalty spot late in the day to send the Dick’s Sporting Goods Park crowd wild.

Another player who has grabbed plenty of headlines for the Rapids this season is Rafael Navarro, having scored 11 goals, but we cannot forget about Kevin Cabral, who has quietly been one of the most dangerous players for the Rapids.

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Cabral now returns from a one-game suspension following two yellow cards against LAFC, but don’t be surprised if he comes straight back into the team here. After all, he was starting regularly prior to that ban, while he was playing well too.

Far from the most prolific scorer, Cabral definitely offers a goal threat. In addition to scoring an average of 0.25 goals per game for the Rapids this season, the French winger/forward averages an eye-catching 0.41 xG per 90 minutes.

Also averaging 2.23 shots per game, the 24-year-old, who will be keen to make a big impact on his return, looks ever so slightly generously priced to score at odds of +225 (DraftKings).

Recap - Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City best bets

To summarize, here are the best bets ahead of the Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City:

Colorado Rapids to Win @ -125 with DraftKings Sportsbook

Kevin Cabral to Score @ +225 with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Author
Bradley Gibbs

With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and analyst specializing in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.