Orlando City vs New York City FC prediction, picks & best bets

The men in purple will be back in action on home soil on Saturday evening. Following another win during the week, they’ll be looking for more joy.

After three games without a win, the NYCFC boys will also be looking for a win, or rather they need one. Can they upset their in-form hosts? Read on Orlando City vs New York City FC predictions.

Orlando City vs New York City FC prediction

For the Orlando City vs New York City FC match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-2 tie based on our analysis.

Both teams showed their ability to score goals during the week, while neither team is easy to beat, so we shouldn’t be surprised if we see a game between two closely matched sides, even the goals to do arrive in no small number.

See below for our Orlando City vs New York City FC predictions:

Over 3.0 Asian Total @ +120 with BetMGM
Facundo Torres to Score @ +165 with BetMGM

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Orlando City vs New York City FC betting odds

The early betting lines (Moneyline) imply a winning probability of 50% for Orlando City, while they also suggest that NYCFC has a 29.4% chance of winning.

Bet	Odds
Orlando City to win	+100
New York City FC to win	+240
Tie	+265

Using our own calculations, we believe that the probability of a home win is 44.4%, while we also believe that the visitors have a winning chance of 32.8%.

Orlando City vs New York City FC head-to-head statistics

This will be the second time that the pair have met this season. In the reverse fixture, NYCFC came out on top in high-scoring fashion, winning by four goals to two in front of a home crowd.

Saturday’s visitors have won three of the last four renewals of this fixture, while the hosts have won none of those four, not beating NYCFC since picking up a 2-1 home win back in 2022.

Orlando City vs New York City FC preview

This game will take place on 20/07/2024 at Inter&Co Stadium. Kick off will be at 20:30 local time.

Another team bit Orlando’s dust on Wednesday night as the Lions triumphed on the road, beating Nashville SC by three goals to nil. That win marked four wins on the bounce for the men in purple, who thanks to their recent form have forced their way into the top seven.

The reason for the improvement in form? Goals, goals and more goals. Oscar Pareja’s men have simply improved in terms of end-product, so much so that they’ve scored 13 goals in their last four games.

Given their current form, with key players such as Facundo Torres motoring along right now, it’s hard to see the Lions struggling on Saturday night, though this is not a gimme.

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The visitors have found it much harder to pick up maximum points in recent weeks, but they’re digging deep and grinding out results, showing that they’re far from the easiest team to beat.

Nicholas Cushing’s men found their goal-scoring touch at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in the week, which bodes well given that they’ll need to offer plenty in the final if they’re to get anything from this fixture.

The question will be, as it has for all of Orlando’s recent opponents, can they outscore the hosts? Probably not, but nine goals in their last five should give them some confidence.

Orlando City vs New York City FC picks

Ahead of this intriguing clash at Inter&Co Stadium, I’m siding with two picks, both of which look to represent some value for money at the early lines.

Over 3.0 Asian Total

Is this likely to be a high-scoring game? By my reckoning a glut of goals is more likely than odds of +120 would have us believe.

For starters, when the pair met in the reverse fixture, which only took place last month, they shared six goals, with both teams making relatively light work of forging clear-cut opportunities.

It’s also worth adding that the hosts have scored three or more in each of their last three games, while seven of their last eight have contained a total of at least four goals, one of which was that six-goal thriller against Saturday’s opponents.

If we factor in NYCFC’s four-goal game on Wednesday night, then ‘Over 3.0 Asian Total’, which pays a refund if only three goals are scored, starts to look like a very decent bet at the early odds.

Facundo Torres to Score

Going down the player route now, it’s also worth betting on Orlando’s star man to find the net in this fixture.

Facundo Torres may not have scored during the week, but the Uruguayan came close, while he certainly retained his appetite, shooting three times, hitting the target twice. He’s also notched six goals in his last seven games.

Let’s not forget that this is a forward who has shot three or more times in four of his last five, averaging 1.6 shots on target and 0.60 goals during that time. At odds of +165, I’ve got him to score here.