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Friday will be day 12 at the US Open and what a day we have in store. The men’s semi-finals are due to take place at the iconic Arthur Ashe Stadium.
If there’s one thing that US tennis fans love to see at this tournament, it’s two homegrown players battling it out in the latter rounds. That’s exactly what they’ll get on Friday. Read on for our best US Open picks.
Friday’s US Open Tennis Picks
The match in focus here is one of the two ATP semi-finals. Specifically, we’re looking at the match between Taylor Fritz and Frances Tiafoe, which really does have the makings of a classic US Open encounter.
Here are our picks for this mouthwatering clash:
Taylor Fritz -1.5 Set Handicap @ -130 with DraftKings Sportsbook
Taylor Fritz to Win 3-1 @ +250 with DraftKings Sportsbook
Best US Open betting offers
Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe betting odds
Below you will see the implied probabilities behind the Moneyline odds for this US Open clash, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fritz to Win | -250 | 71.4% | 73.2% | +1.8% |
Tiafoe to Win | +225 | 30.8% | 26.8% | -2.0% |
Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe picks
This match will be played on 06/09/2024 at Arthur Ashe Stadium in New York. The match is due to begin at 16:00 local time.
Taylor Fritz -1.5 Set Handicap
Frances Tiafoe is playing some of the hottest hard-court tennis of his life right now, there’s no doubt about that, but this will be tough for the lower-ranked player, who has a less than pleasing record against Taylor Fritz.
Fritz, who has had the harder path to the semis by facing Casper Ruud and Alexander Zverev, both of whom rank inside the top eight, has won each of his last six matches against Tiafoe, all of which have been on a hard surface.
When the pair last met in a Grand Slam, at the Australian Open in 2022, Fritz won in straight sets. Such stats are not easy to ignore.
All things considered, betting on Fritz to win by at least a two-set margin at odds of -130 is the way to go. You could easily argue that such a bet should (and likely will be soon) priced less generously.
Recap - Friday’s US Open best bets
Here we have it, our best bets for Friday’s huge US Open clash:
Taylor Fritz -1.5 Set Handicap @ -130 with DraftKings Sportsbook
More sports betting content:
When betting on US Open tennis, please ensure that you use a legal sportsbook. Check out our guide to the best tennis betting sites.
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