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After what was an epic battle in that second semi-final, we’ve reached the Men’s US Open Final, which will take place at Arthur Ashe Stadium on Sunday afternoon.
Sunday’s US Open Tennis Picks
This year, the Men’s US Open Final consists of world number one Jannik Sinner, who is looking to pick up his second Grand Slam win of the season, and Taylor Fritz, who is competing in a Grand Slam final for the first time in his career.
Our picks for the Men’s US Open Final are as follows:
Jannik Sinner to Win 3-1 @ +240 with DraftKings Sportsbook
Best US Open betting offers
Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz betting odds
The table below shows the implied probabilities behind the Moneyline odds for this match, plus our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sinner to Win | -345 | 77.5% | 78.5% | +1.0% |
Fritz to Win | +275 | 26.7% | 21.5% | -5.2% |
Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz picks
As the final Grand Slam of the ATP season comes to a close on Sunday, one pick stands out from a value point of view. Here we go.
Jannik Sinner to Win 3-1
Despite him being a sizable favorite in the early betting, I’m of the opinion that there is a smidgen of value to be had by betting on Sinner to win this match, so if taking odds of -345 is your sort of thing, I wouldn’t advise against it.
If that’s for you, then betting on the Italian to win by three sets to one appeals at odds of +240.
We know that Fritz isn’t going to lie down here, but is he really going to be good enough to seriously push the world number one? I doubt it.
We’ve seen Sinner drop the odd set, as he did against Medvedev, so it wouldn’t be the biggest surprise if Fritz claimed one of the first two sets on Sunday afternoon, but after a while, the world number should pull clear.
Last but not least, it wouldn’t be wise to overlook the fact that Fritz had to expend more energy to beat Tiafoe in five sets than Sinner did to beat Draper in three, which after a while could be telling.
Recap - Sunday’s US Open best bets
To summarize, our best bets for the Men’s US Open Final are as follows:
Jannik Sinner to Win 3-1 @ +240 with DraftKings Sportsbook
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When betting on the US Open, make sure that you use a legal sportsbook. Check out our guide to the best tennis betting sites.
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