On Wednesday, the WTA tennis train continues to pick up speed, going full steam ahead in both Mexico and Tunisia, where we have the Guadalajara Open Akron and the Jasmin Open.
On this occasion, our focus is on the Guadalajara Open Akron, which rather unsurprisingly is being played in the Mexican city of Guadaljara, where this season a new winner will be crowned as neither of the previous two winners of this event will be in attendance.
Wednesday’s WTA tennis picks
The Guadalajara Open Akron will be in full swing on Wednesday. One of the more eye-catching matches from a betting angle is the one between Veronika Kudermetova and Camila Osorio.
Our predictions and pick for this WTA match are as follows:
Veronika Kudermetova to Win @ +120 with DraftKings Sportsbook
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Veronika Kudermetova vs Camila Osorio betting odds
In the table below you will see the implied probabilities behind the Moneyline odds for this match, plus our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kudermetova to Win | +120 | 45.5% | 53.5% | +8.0% |
Osorio to Win | -149 | 59.9% | 46.5% | -13.4% |
Veronika Kudermetova vs Camila Osorio picks
As this showdown between Russia and Colombia takes place on Mexican soil, I’m very much of the opinion that Veronika Kudermetova is being overlooked in the early betting.
The Russian made light work of winning her first-round match at this tournament, brushing aside the challenge of a lower-ranked player, and while this is tougher on paper, I really wouldn’t be too surprised if she got the job done here, something which on all available evidence, appears to be more likely than the early odds suggest.
Osorio also came through her first test at this tournament without struggling, though she’s now up against a much higher-ranked player, as opposed to a lower-ranked player.
The Colombian doesn’t have the best recent record against players ranked above her, losing each of her last three such matches. She’s also lost five of her last six hard-court matches against players of a higher standing.
At the end of the day, the Russian is the much higher-ranked player for a reason, so she should be getting a little more respect here, as the table above shows. Betting on Kudermetova to win at the early odds simply offers value for money, which is key to long-term profit in this game.
Recap - Best bets for Wednesday’s WTA tennis
Ahead of Wednesday’s WTA action, here is our best tennis bet:
Veronika Kudermetova to Win @ +120 with DraftKings Sportsbook
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