On Friday, the tennis action in Mexico continues as we’ve reached the quarter-finals of the Guadalajara Open Akron.
Some of the big names involved in this tournament have fallen early on, leaving the door open for a less than likely winner to come through and grab the title, so we’ve got an intriguing weekend of action ahead of us. Read on for our WTA predictions.
Friday’s WTA Tennis Picks
The match in focus on Friday from a betting point of view is the showdown between Camila Osorio and Kamilla Rakhimova.
Our predictions and picks for this Guadalajara Open Akron match are as follows:
Camila Osorio to Win @ +115 with BetMGM Sportsbook
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Camila Osorio vs Kamilla Rakhimova betting odds
In the table below you will see the implied probabilities behind the Moneyline odds for this match, plus our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Osorio to Win | +115 | 46.5% | 52.3% | +5.8% |
Rakhimova to Win | -125 | 55.6% | 47.7% | -6.7% |
Camila Osorio vs Kamilla Rakhimova picks
As the quarter-finals get underway in Mexico on Friday, there’s one bet that is too good to miss given the early lines. Here we go.
Camila Osorio to Win
This is an interesting match-up between two players who are separated by just nine places in the WTA Rankings. However, for my money, there’s plenty of evidence to suggest that Camila Osorio should be the narrow favorite, which she currently is not.
The Colombian has a good record in this part of the world and she’s clearly thriving at present, beating a decent player in Kudermetova in the previous round, staging a dramatic and unlikely comeback, which will have filled her with confidence. That win should not be undervalued.
Sure, Rakhimova made it beyond Azarenka, who was the third seed, but let’s face it, Azarenka was clearly injured, before retiring early in the second set, so we probably shouldn’t take that win at face value.
Moreover, Osorio has a 100% record against Rakhimova, beating in straight sets as recently as 2023. There’s value to be had by betting on the higher-ranked player to get the job done, that’s for sure.
Recap - Friday’s US Open best bets
To summarize, our best bets for Friday’s WTA action are as follows:
Camila Osorio to Win @ +115 with BetMGM Sportsbook
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