On Sunday afternoon, the final match of the WTA event in Mexico, otherwise known as the Guadalajara Open Akron, will take place.
Perhaps not the most prestigious tournament, this is a huge match for the two players involved, both of whom will be desperate to get their hands on silverware. Read on for our WTA predictions and picks.
Sunday’s WTA Tennis Picks
After successfully betting on Frech to make it through that semi-final against Garcia, we’re now looking at the Polish player again as she takes on Aussie Olivia Gadecki, who is playing in her first WTA final.
See below for our WTA Guadalajara Open Akron final picks:
Magdalena Frech to Win @ -110 with DraftKings Sportsbook
Magdalena Frech vs betting odds
See below for the implied probabilities behind the Moneyline odds for this match, plus our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Frech to Win | -110 | 54.5% | 58.4% | +3.9% |
Gadecki to Win | -110 | 54.5% | 41.6% | -12.9% |
Magdalena Frech vs picks
Ahead of this tennis battle between Poland and France, one bet stands out as a value play based on the early lines:
Magdalena Frech to Win
Deja vu? Well, just a day later and we’re back at it, again betting on Polish player Magdalena Frech to get the job done. Only this time, we’re betting on her to lift the trophy, which would be only her second WTA win.
Just as she was ahead of the semi-final, I really do feel that Frech is being undervalued by the early market. The Pole has played some great stuff in Mexico, so much so that she ought to be a stronger favorite against a lower-ranked player.
We shouldn’t take anything away from Gadecki, who caused an upset by beating Osorio in that semi-final and she’s shown that she’s an improving player, one who likely has a promising WTA future.
Moreover, we’ve seen Gadecki beat big players like Dannielle Collins on her way to reaching the final, which should not be overlooked, but this may just be a step too far.
For the Aussie, this will be a new experience, while Frech knows what it feels like to not only reach a final but to win one, which is not something to overlook.
If we consider the extra experience that the Pole has and combine it with the fact that she’s the much higher-ranked player, then it’s not too difficult to conclude that she’s worthy of greater market supremacy. While she doesn’t, betting on her to win offers us a nice chunk of value.
Recap - Sunday’s WTA best bets
Here we go then, as we look for three tennis winners in a row, here’s the best bet for Sunday:
Magdalena Frech to Win @ -110 with DraftKings Sportsbook
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