On Sunday evening, the final Major League Soccer fixture of the weekend will kick off at Subaru Park, where the Philadelphia Union and DC United go head-to-head.
The hosts bounced back in fine style during the week, while the visitors are on a good run right now, so both teams should be feeling confident. Read on for our Philadelphia Union vs DC United predictions.
Philadelphia Union vs DC United prediction
For the Philadelphia Union vs DC United match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 1-1 tie based on our analysis.
Both teams will be without key offensive players at Subaru Park, which could hamper their abilities to both create chances and score goals, so don’t be too surprised if this isn’t an overly high-scoring game.
Our Philadelphia Union vs DC United picks and predictions are:
Under 3.0 Asian Total @ -105 with BetMGM Sportsbook
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Philadelphia Union vs DC United betting odds
Below are the implied probabilities behind the Moneyline odds for this MLS fixture, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Philadelphia Union to Win | -120 | 54.5% | 48.5% | -6.0% |
DC United to Win | +250 | 28.6% | 25.0% | -1.6% |
Tie | +275 | 26.7% | 26.5% | -0.2% |
Philadelphia Union vs DC United head-to-head statistics
When the teams met earlier in the season, they drew 2-2 in Washington, with the Union coming from two goals down to secure a point courtesy of a late goal from Jack McGlynn.
Philadelphia Union vs DC United preview
This game will take place on 22/09/2024 at Subaru Park. Kick off will be at 19:15 local time.
Things hadn’t been going too well for the Union, but it’s safe to say that their fortunes improved during the week when they thumped NYCFC by five goals to one away from home.
That was a timely win for Jim Curtin’s men, who’d won just one of their previous five in all competitions, with several of their key offensive players grabbing goals.
Unfortunately for Sunday’s hosts, star man Daniel Gazdag picked up a yellow, meaning that he’s been slapped with a one-gam ban, which is a huge blow for the hosts.
The visitors, who’ve improved of late, winning two of their last three, none of which they’ve lost, will also be without their key forward.
Saving the day with a goal from the penalty spot last time out, Christian Benteke, who with 19 goals to his name, is Major League Soccer’s top scorer, will also miss this match through suspension, which will absolutely dent the visitors ability to score goals.
Philadelphia Union vs DC United picks
Looking at the early lines ahead of Sunday’s Major League Soccer fixture, only one bet appeals:
Under 3.0 Asian Total
Looking at the early lines, betting on a relative lack of goals really does appeal here. Sure, the hosts did shift through the gears last time out, scoring lots of goals, but they’ve also been involved in their share of low-scoring games, especially at home, with five of their last six home games containing less than three goals (in regulation time).
We also cannot overlook the fact that Gazdag is out. Not only is the Hungarian one of the Philly’s most prolific in terms of scoring goals, but he’s also the main creator, the man who makes the offense tick. His absence is a big one.
The same goes for DC, who really do miss Benteke when he’s not there. The Belgian forward is easily DC’s top scorer this season. He’s also scored or assisted each of the last three goals scored by Sunday’s visitors.
Sure, Major League Soccer is known as a league where lots of goals are scored and there’s a good reason for that, though with both teams missing their most threatening players and with the hosts not exactly always being involved in goal-filled games at home of late, betting on a lack of goals makes sense on this occasion.
Recap - Philadelphia Union vs DC United best bets
To recap, our best bet for Sunday’s Major League Soccer fixture is:
Under 3.0 Asian Total @ -105 with BetMGM Sportsbook
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