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Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC prediction, picks & best bets

Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC prediction, picks & best bets
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Published at: September 25th, 2024
Updated at: September 25th, 2024

Two out of form Major League Soccer teams will clash on Saturday evening as the Chicago Fire and Toronto FC lock horns at the Illinois venue of Soldier Field.

Both teams will be looking to bounce back having failed to score in defeat last time out. Read on for our Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC predictions.

Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC prediction

For the Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-1 win for the Fire based on our analysis.

This will be seen as an opportunity by both teams, so don’t be surprised if both go for it, but the hosts may just edge it, especially with the visitors expected to be without a couple of key players.

Our Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC predictions and picks are:

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Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC betting odds

Below are the implied probabilities behind the Moneyline odds for this MLS fixture, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.

Bet

Odds

Implied probability

Our adjusted probability

Difference

Chicago Fire to Win

-110

52.4%

53.5%

+1.1%

Toronto FC to Win

+250

28.6%

22.2%

-6.4%

Tie

+250

28.6%

24.3%

-4.3%

Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC head-to-head statistics

Saturday’s hosts have a pleasing recent record against TFC, winning three of the last four renewals of this fixture, none of which they’ve lost. When the pair met earlier in the campaign, the Fire won by four goals to one.

Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC preview

This game will take place on 28/09/2024 at Soldier Field. Kick off will be at 20:30 local time.

As far as the play-offs are concerned, there’s little hope for the Fire, which will no doubt disappoint the crowd at Soldier Field.

However, there’s a chance for the hosts to enter the last few weeks of the campaign with their heads held high, and they can do that by beating a poor TFC side on their own patch.

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Having recently beaten the Red Bulls at home, the Fire should fancy themselves to get a positive result against a visiting team that is expected to be without a couple of key men.

Without the likes of Lorenzo Insigne and Jonathon Osorio, John Herdman’s men folded in rather tame fashion on the road against the Rapids last weekend, and with those two still sidelined, this could be a struggle too.

At times, the visitors have made headway on their travels, but it’s relatively difficult to see them doing that without Insigne and Osorio, while they’ve lost five of their last seven away games, which doesn’t exactly signal that an away-day win is incoming.

Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC picks

Looking at the early lines, just one bet appeals ahead of this MLS fixture:

Chicago Fire to Win

Sure, the hosts have very little chance of reaching the top nine, meaning that they’ll be signing off for the year without featuring in the postseason.

Does that stop them winning this home game? Definitely not. In fact, I’d describe this as something of a gilt-edged chance for Frank Klopas’ men.

As touched on above, the visitors struggle on the road, failing to score in defeat away last time out, while they are missing key men here, further aiding the cause of those playing in front of a home crowd.

Factor in that the Fire delivered a decent effort to beat the Red Bulls in their most recent home game, winning three of their last six home games, beating much better teams than TFC, and betting on the home win becomes the way to go.

Recap - Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC best bets

To recap, our best bet for Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC is:

Chicago Fire to Win @ -110 with BetMGM Sportsbook

More MLS betting picks:

When betting on Major League Soccer, please make sure that you use a legal sportsbook. Check out our guide to the best soccer betting sites.

Author
Bradley Gibbs

With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and analyst specializing in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.