We made it three tennis winners on the spin when last in action, hitting a fourth winner from the last five picks too. We’re back at it on Sunday, looking at Monday’s WTA action in China.
Following the conclusion of the event in Beijing, we move on to the Wuhan Open, where things get underway on Monday. Read on for our WTA tennis predictions and picks.
Monday’s WTA Tennis Picks
The match that we’re focusing on ahead of Monday’s action in Wuhan is the one between Elise Mertens and Donna Vekic, who will meet for the first time since 2023.
Our predictions and picks for this WTA match are:
Over 2.5 Sets @ +145 with DraftKings Sportsbook
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Elise Mertens vs Donna Vekic betting odds
See below for the implied probabilities behind the Moneyline odds for this match, plus our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mertens to Win | +110 | 47.6% | 48.1% | +0.5% |
Vekic to Win | -120 | 54.5% | 51.9% | -2.65% |
Elise Mertens vs Donna Vekic picks
Looking at the early lines, I cannot help but feel that there’s one pick that’s a little generously priced:
Over 2.5 Sets
As the early market suggests, there’s not too much between the pair, so much so that this is definitely a tough match to call.
If you held a gun to my head (please don’t) and told me to bet on one player to win the match, I’d take Mertens, as I feel that there may be a smidgen of value to the Belgian’s early odds, but without the gun, there’s not enough value to get me interested.
Betting on this match to go into a third set does pique my interest, though. The catalyst here is that both players have been very inconsistent of late, with both making mistakes at regular intervals, so it’s far from difficult to see both making hard work of this.
After all, each of Vekic’s last three matches have gone the distance, while Mertens has also been involved in a three-setter in each of her last three matches.
It’s also worth mentioning that both are more than capable of battling hard when necessary, with neither making a habit of losing in straight sets. Mertens only recent straight-set defeat came against world number two Sabalenka, while her Croat opponent hasn’t lost without picking up a set (on hard courts) since March.
I foresee a really good battle here, so much so that the chances of this one going into a third set seem greater than early odds of +145 would have us believe. Therefore, such odds are worth taking.
Recap - Monday’s WTA best bets
Here we are, as a new tournament begins, our best bets for Monday’s WTA action are as follows:
Over 2.5 Sets @ +145 with DraftKings Sportsbook
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