Great to see both Monday’s and Tuesday’s tennis bets winning, taking us to five tennis winners in a row. Hopefully the good run continues as we get back down to business on Wednesday.
We’re once again focusing on the WTA event in China, otherwise known as the Wuhan Open, where one match catches the eye in particular. Read on for our free WTA tennis predictions and tips.
Wednesday’s WTA Tennis Picks
On Wednesday, the match in focus is the one between Yue Yuan and Jasmine Paolini, which is expected to be the last match to begin, meaning that it can be followed at a more friendly time by those in the US.
Our Yue Yuan vs Jasmine Paolini predictions and picks are:
Yue Yuan +1.5 Set Handicap @ -115 with BetMGM Sportsbook
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Yue Yuan vs Jasmine Paolini betting odds
See below for the implied probabilities behind the Moneyline odds for this match, plus our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Yuan to Win | +220 | 31.3% | 34.1% | +2.7% |
Paolini to Win | -303 | 75.2% | 65.9% | -9.3% |
Yue Yuan vs Jasmine Paolini picks
Ahead of this match, there’s some value to be had by betting on Yue Yuan to outperform her odds.
Yue Yuan +1.5 Set Handicap
I’ll start by saying that Jasmine Paolini is absolutely entitled to be a strong favorite ahead of this match. The Italian is the much higher-ranked player and she’s shown her class this season, reaching not one but two Grand Slam finals.
However, I’d argue that she’s a little over bet here. It’s been a long, grueling campaign for Paolini, and in recent weeks, she’s shown signs that she’s now flagging a little.
Paolini lost to Muchova in straight sets at the US Open, before taking more than three weeks off. She returned to stutter beyond Tauson in three sets in Beijing, but couldn’t go further than the second round, losing in straight sets to Magda Linette. We saw a Paolini not at her best on that occasion. We’ve not seen her since.
Yue Yuan hasn’t exactly been firing on all cylinders of late, but she has the advantage of playing on home soil, while she’s also played one match at this tournament already, giving herself a small advantage over her opponent here in terms of preparation and match readiness, which might just have been overlooked by the early market.
We know that Yuan is a strong hard-court competitor on her day, with her winning a title in Austin last season. She also reached the semi-finals in Hobart, Australia late last season, and reached finals in both Japan and her native China.
Given that the Chinese player will face a Paolini who may not be at her best, shorter odds would be warranted, meaning that there’s value to be had by betting on her to, at the very least, avoid a straight-set defeat.
Recap - Wednesday’s WTA tennis best bets
Let’s recap. The best bet ahead of Wednesday’s WTA action is:
Yue Yuan +1.5 Set Handicap @ -115 with BetMGM Sportsbook
If you're planning to bet on WTA tennis competitions, then we advise you to use a legal and legitimate sportsbook. To help with this, check out our guide to the best tennis betting sites.
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