We’ve reached the last four in Wuhan, where there are two very interesting semi-finals, the first of which is a colossal showdown between two of the WTA’s very best.
On Saturday afternoon, world number two Aryna Sabalenka will take on world number four Coco Gauff in what is a battle between two Grand Slam champions. Read on for our WTA tennis predictions and picks.
Saturday’s WTA Tennis Picks
Our tennis betting port of call on Saturday will be the Wuhan Open semi-final between Sabalenka and Gauff, which is an intriguing match-up, that’s for sure.
Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff predictions and picks are:
Coco Gauff to Win @ +155 with BetMGM Sportsbook
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff betting odds
See below for the implied probabilities behind the Moneyline odds for this match, plus our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sabalenka to Win | -189 | 65.4% | 55.4% | -10.0% |
Gauff to Win | +155 | 39.2% | 44.6% | +5.4% |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff picks
I’m looking at the early lines here and I just cannot help but think that Coco Gauff is generously priced.
Coco Gauff to Win
There’s no way that Coco Gauff, in her current form, should be considered the +155 underdog here, absolutely not.
Sure, given that she’s the world number two, Aryna Sabalenka, who remains one of the very toughest WTA players to face, should be the narrow favourite, but right now, she’s not worthy of such markey supremacy.
The Belarusian hasn’t been at her brilliant best in recent weeks. She lost to the lower-ranked Muchova in Beijing, while she dropped a set against Puntintseva on her way to reaching this semi-final.
In contrast, Gauff won the tournament in Beijing, blowing away Muchova (in straight sets) in the final, while she hasn’t put a foot wrong since, dropping zero sets.
Not only can you argue that Gauff has her game in better shape right now, but it’s the younger player who actually leads the head-to-head between the pair.
Gauff and Sabalenka have faced each other seven times, with four of those matches going the way of the American.
Of course, head-to-heads aren’t everything and the record between these two tells us that they’re quite closely matched, so this could go either way, I’m certainly not suggesting otherwise, but what I am saying is that Gauff has done more than enough to be considered a slightly more likely winner than the early lines suggest.
In her current mood, as she bids to reach consecutive hard-court finals, I really wouldn’t be surprised if the 20-year-old got the job done, and while odds of +155 are available, i’ll be betting on her to do just that. Will you?
Recap - Tuesday’s WTA tennis best bets
Ahead of the Wuhan Open Semi Final, the best value bet is:
Coco Gauff to Win @ +155 with BetMGM Sportsbook
If you're planning to bet on WTA tennis competitions, then we advise you to use a legal and legitimate sportsbook. To help with this, check out our guide to the best tennis betting sites.
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