As teams all around the country get ready for the postseason, for the Chicago Fire and Nashville there’s nothing to look forward to, making this fixture something of a pointless one.
However, could the nature of this fixture present us with a viable betting opportunity? I think so. Read on for Sporting Post’s Chicago Fire vs Nashville predictions and picks.
Chicago Fire vs Nashville prediction
For the Chicago Fire vs Nashville match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 1-1 tie based on our analysis.
Neither side has much to play for here, while neither team has been in amazingly hot scoring form, so we probably shouldn’t be too surprised if we see a relative lack of goals at Soldier Field on Saturday night.
Our Chicago Fire vs Nashville predictions and picks are:
Under 2.5 Goals @ +110 with DraftKings Sportsbook
Moneyline Tie @ +260 with DraftKings Sportsbook
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Chicago Fire vs Nashville betting odds
The table below shows the implied probabilities behind the Moneyline odds for this MLS fixture, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Chicago Fire to Win | +105 | 48.8% | 40.1% | -8.7% |
Nashville to Win | +245 | 29.0% | 26.7% | -2.3% |
Draw | +260 | 27.8% | 33.2% | +5.4% |
Chicago Fire vs Nashville head-to-head statistics
When the pair met earlier in the season, they shared just a single goal as the Nashville boys won by a goal to nil in Music City. Interestingly, each of the last three renewals of this fixture has been won by the team playing at home. Each of the last two renewals have contained just a single goal.
Chicago Fire vs Nashville preview
This game will take place on 19/10/2024 at Soldier Field. Kick off will be 19:00 local time.
A disappointing season will conclude for the Fire on Saturday evening. After 33 games, no team in the Eastern Conference has picked up fewer points than Saturday’s hosts, who’ve been blighted by a severe lack of consistency.
The hosts have also struggled to defend with any sort of resilience, conceding a worrying total of 59 goals. Four teams in the east have conceded more goals, but when you pair Chicago’s lack of offensive strength with their defensive shortcomings, then it really is a recipe for disaster, as we’ve seen.
For the visitors, it hasn’t been much better. Hugely inconsistent and far from threatening in the final third, the boys from Music City have failed to get competitive this season.
No Eastern Conference team has scored fewer goals than Nashville, and that’s a huge part of the problem for the team ending the campaign in the Windy City on Saturday night.
Chicago Fire vs Nashville picks
Looking at the early lines, two bets appeal from a value betting viewpoint:
Under 2.5 Goals
The catalyst here is that we’re not only talking about two teams that have very little to play for, but we’re talking about two teams who’ve been among the worst for offensive strength this season.
As mentioned above, no Eastern Conference team has scored less goals than the visitors, who’ve scored a poor average of 1.06 goals per 90 minutes. In a high-scoring league such as Major League Soccer, that’s simply not good enough.
On the road, the visitors have scored an even worse average of 0.68 goals per 90 minutes. At home, the Fire have scored an average of 1.17 goals. Sure, that’s not anywhere near as bad as what the visitors have produced on the road, but it’s far from promising.
The combination of two teams with nothing left to fight for and two teams that struggle to score goals in general is simply too strong to ignore here.
Moneyline Tie
At odds of +260, there’s a smidgen of value to be had by betting on the tie here. Is winning this game going to be overly important for either team? Absolutely not.
If we also factor in that neither side has offered much going forward of late, offering similar low-key offensive performances, it would be far from a surprise if the pair were quite closely matched at Soldier Field.
Recap - Chicago Fire vs Nashville best bets
To recap, our best bet for Chicago Fire vs Nashville is:
Under 2.5 Goals @ +110 with DraftKings Sportsbook
Moneyline Tie @ +260 with DraftKings Sportsbook
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