As the ‘Best of Three’ part of the Major League Soccer play-offs begins this weekend, Orlando City will welcome Charlotte to Inter&Co Stadium on Sunday evening.
While the hosts will be looking to take advantage of playing on home soil, the visitors will be hoping to cause an upset ahead of facing their opponents at Bank of America Stadium. Read on for our Orlando City vs Charlotte predictions and picks.
Orlando City vs Charlotte prediction
For the Orlando City vs Charlotte match prediction, we believe the final score will be 2-0 to Orlando based on our analysis.
The visitors are far from easy to beat and they arrive in hot form, but over the course of the season, we’ve seen them deliver some low-key efforts on the road, such as when losing at Inter&Co Stadium not that long ago.
Our Orlando City vs Charlotte predictions and picks:
Orlando City to Win @ -125 with DraftKings Sportsbook
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Orlando City vs Charlotte betting odds
See below for the implied probabilities of the Moneyline odds for this MLS fixture, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Orlando City | -125 | 55.6% | 57.1% | +1.5% |
Charlotte | +300 | 25.0% | 19.2% | -5.8% |
Tie | +275 | 26.7% | 23.7% | -3.0% |
Orlando City vs Charlotte head-to-head statistics
The teams last met just over a month ago, when Orlando City won by two goals to nil in front of a home crowd, scoring two second-half goals through the ever reliable Facundo Torres and Duncan Maguire to wrap up what was a dominant performance.
Orlando City vs Charlotte preview
This game will take place on 27/10/2024 at Inter&Co Stadium. Kick off will be at 19:30 local time.
Having been one of the Western Conference’s better teams for most of the regular season, Orlando’s position in the play-offs was never really in doubt.
Unfortunately, Sunday’s hosts couldn’t end the regular campaign on a high, losing at home to Atlanta United, though we probably shouldn’t focus too much on that result. After all, they didn’t need to win, while overall, they were still the better team.
For Dean Smith’s men, a position in the postseason was never quite as guaranteed, so much so that it took some fantastic end-of-season form to force their way in.
Sunday’s visitors will arrive at Inter&Co Stadium having won each of their last three games, winning also four of their last five. They’ve certainly built momentum ahead of what will be a tough test.
Orlando City vs Charlotte picks
Looking at the early lines, I’m siding with just one play ahead of this fixture:
Orlando City to Win
In the betting, I cannot help but side with the hosts all the time that odds of -125 are available. As the table above suggests, such a price looks a little generous, such has been the level of Orlando at Inter&Co Stadium this year.
Prior to that defeat against Atlanta, which we really shouldn’t get too worked up about, Oscar Pareja’s men had won four MLS games on the spin at home, scoring plenty of goals, conceding very few.
In fact, the hosts have kept a clean sheet in three of their last five at home, conceding an average of just 0.40 goals during that time. This is hard to ignore, especially when we consider that the visitors have often delivered offensive efforts that can be described as subdued on the road.
Smith’s men have won just one of their last seven on the road, losing three of their last five, failing to score in two of those. They’ve scored more than a single goal in just one of their last five on the road.
We also know that they struggled immensely to get going in the final third when visiting Orlando just over a month ago. Having been totally outplayed on that occasion, I think we can quite easily make a case for the visitors being slightly bigger underdogs than they currently are.
All the time odds of -125 are available, I’m betting on the hosts to make a pleasing start to this series by repeating their recent home win over Charlotte.
Recap - Orlando City vs Charlotte best bets
To recap, our Orlando vs Charlotte best bet is:
Orlando City to Win @ -125 with DraftKings Sportsbook
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