It’s judgement day for Atlanta United. Can they stop what many would call the best team in Major League Soccer to keep their MLS Cup dreams alive? Or will the visitors simply have too much in the locker.
Having won the first in this best-of-three series, the Inter Miami boys will be looking to complete the job at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Read on for our Atlanta United vs Inter Miami prediction and picks.
Atlanta United vs Inter Miami prediction
For the Atlanta United vs Inter Miami match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-2 tie based on our analysis.
We know that the visitors have the tools to hurt the hosts, but don’t write off the Five Stripes, who can absolutely make their offensive presence felt here.
Our Atlanta United vs Inter Miami predictions and picks:
Atlanta United to Score Over 1.5 Goals @ -105 with BetMGM Sportsbook
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Atlanta United vs Inter Miami betting odds
The table below shows the implied probabilities behind the Moneyline odds for this MLS fixture, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlanta United to Win | +225 | 30.8% | 31.5% | +0.8% |
Inter Miami to Win | -105 | 51.2% | 45.2% | -6.0% |
Tie | +310 | 24.4% | 23.3% | -1.1% |
Atlanta United vs Inter Miami head-to-head statistics
This will be the fourth time that the pair have met during 2024. During the regular season, the Five Stripes won by three goals to one away from home, before the pair tied 2-2 at this venue. In Miami just a few days ago, the Inter Miami boys won by two goals to one.
Atlanta United vs Inter Miami preview
This game will take place on 02/11/2024 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Kick off will be at 20:00 local time.
If the Five Stripes want to keep themselves in with a chance of making MLS Cup Final, then the time is very much now. They need to beat a fearsome Inter Miami side, which on the face of it, looks like a tough task, but could they surprise people and extend the series?
To be honest, if Lionel Messi pulls the strings to the best of his ability, as he has done so often in an Inter Miami shirt, then winning this game may prove to be beyond the hosts, even if they are on form.
However, there’s no reason why the Five Stripes can’t put up a serious fight. After all, they do have the positive experience of beating the Miami boys once this season already, while it’s not as if they were trashed in the first game. Now back on home soil, the hosts can definitely get a little more serious.
For the visitors, it’s all about being patient and then relying on the individual quality of Messi and Suarez, which is an approach that has worked in many big games this season.
Atlanta United vs Inter Miami picks
Going by the early lines, one bet in particular looks to offer value for money.
Atlanta United to Score Over 1.5 Goals
This may not seem like the most obvious bet here, but let’s be real for a second, the Inter Miami boys don’t always turn in defensively disciplined performances.
At times, we’ve seen the visitors be all over the place at the back and they’re certainly not averse to conceding goals on the road. Before keeping out a poor TFC side in their most recent away games, Martino’s men were without an away-day clean sheet in six games (in all competitions). They conceded two or more in four of those six.
What’s more, we’ve already seen the Five Stripes hit Miami on the counter to good effect, not once but twice this season, scoring two goals when the pair met at this venue during the regular season, a fixture that took place just over a month ago.
Recap - Atlanta United vs Inter Miami best bets
In summary, our Atlanta United vs Inter Miami best bets are:
Atlanta United to Score Over 1.5 Goals @ -105 with BetMGM Sportsbook
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