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Orlando City vs Charlotte Prediction, Picks & Best Bets

Orlando City vs Charlotte Prediction, Picks & Best Bets
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Published at: November 8th, 2024
Updated at: November 12th, 2024

On Saturday evening, it’s crunch time for both Orlando City and Charlotte. Locked together at 1-1 in this best-of-three series, this is the final chance for both to keep their postseason dreams alive.

Now back in front of a home crowd, can the Orlando boys get the job done and progress? Or will the visitors cause an upset? We’ll find out at Exploria Stadium. Read on for our Orlando City vs Charlotte predictions and picks.

Orlando City vs Charlotte prediction

For the Orlando City vs Charlotte game prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-0 win for Orlando City based on our analysis.

Sure, the visitors kept the series alive last time out, but they needed penalties to do that having failed to score at home. Combine that rather poor offensive effort with their recent loss here and a home win looks on the cards.

Our Orlando City vs Charlotte predictions and picks:

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Orlando City vs Charlotte betting odds

The table below shows the implied probabilities behind the Moneyline odds for this MLS fixture, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.

Bet

Odds

Implied probability

Our adjusted probability

Difference

Orlando City to Win

-115

53.5%

56.2%

+2.7%

Charlotte to Win

+300

25.0%

20.1%

-4.9%

Tie

+250

28.6%

23.7%

-4.9%

Orlando City vs Charlotte head-to-head statistics

This is now the fourth fixture between Orlando and Charlotte since September. The previous three have produced two Orlando wins, both at this venue, and a tie at Bank of America Stadium.

Orlando City vs Charlotte preview

This game will take place on 09/11/2024 at Exploria Stadium. Kick off will be at 20:00 local time.

Did the men in purple want to wrap things up after two games? Sure, but why go all out for an away win that was always going to be tough to obtain, when you can wait until playing on home soil?

It’s fair to say that Oscar Pareja’s men did little to win the second game in the series, tying 0-0 without ever really getting out of first gear, before losing in the shootout. That has left all to play for at Exploria Stadium, but this is where the hosts are very strong, so don’t be surprised if they now get the job done in relatively straightforward fashion.

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This is effectively a one-game shootout, so the visitors aren’t without a chance, but let’s face it, they’ve struggled at this venue, not once but twice this season, losing by two goals to nil on both occasions, so much so that it’s hard to see Dean Smith’s men coming out on top.

Orlando City vs Charlotte picks

The early price on the Orlando win is simply too generous to ignore.

Orlando City to Win

I’ll get right to it here. This game is there for the taking as far as the hosts are concerned, so much so that odds of -115 on the home win look a little generous.

We know that under Dean Smith, the visitors are one of the more organized bunch in Major League Soccer. They can dig in and make life tough for teams, but in doing that, they struggle to impose themselves offensively, especially on the road, while they’ve just gone two games without scoring against this Orlando team, which doesn’t exactly suggest they’ll make significant inroads at Exploria Stadium on Saturday evening.

When the teams met in Florida just over a week ago, the men in purple won, and they won with a bit in hand, showing loads more than their visitors in the final third. This is hard to ignore.

Winners of five of their last six at home, Pareja’s men know how to get over the line in front of their own fans and they’re worth betting on to do exactly that on Saturday night.

Recap - Orlando City vs Charlotte best bets

In summary, our Orlando City vs Charlotte best bets are:

Orlando City to Win @ -115 with DraftKings Sportsbook

More MLS betting picks:

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Also, you can view Soccer Live Scores here.

Author
Bradley Gibbs
Sports betting writer with more than 12 years worth of experience writing about several sports and gambling topics. Value bet finder looking for edges on football, horse racing, tennis and golf, all of which I have covered extensively as a writer. My work has featured on many websites, while I’ve also been published in The Racing & Football Outlook, a popular UK betting newspaper.