On Sunday afternoon, there’s Major League Soccer play-off action at Inter&Co Stadium as Orlando and Atlanta clash in the Eastern Conference semifinals.
Having beaten the Lions not once but twice during the regular season, can the Five Stripes get the job done on the road? We’ll soon find out. Read on for our Orlando vs Atlanta United predictions and picks.
Orlando vs Atlanta United prediction
For the Orlando vs Atlanta match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 1-1 tie based on our analysis.
Of all the play-off games taking place this weekend, this has the potential to be the tightest. Sure, Atlanta beat Orlando twice during the regular season, but both of those wins were by the narrowest margins, so don’t be surprised if there’s little between the pair at Inter&Co Stadium.
Our Orlando vs Atlanta predictions and picks:
Jamal Thiare to Score @ +333 with BetMGM Sportsbook
Orlando vs Atlanta United betting odds
The table below shows the probabilities implied by the Moneyline odds ahead of this match, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Orlando to Win | -149 | 59.8% | 49.7% | -10.1% |
Atlanta to Win | +350 | 22.2% | 22.8% | +0.6% |
Tie | +275 | 26.7% | 27.5% | +0.8% |
Orlando vs Atlanta United head-to-head statistics
This will be the third time that the pair have met in 2024. During the regular season, the Five Stripes won home and away against Orlando, winning 2-1 at home, before clinching a 2-3 success at Inter&Co Stadium.
Orlando vs Atlanta United preview
This game will take place on 24/11/2024 at Inter&Co Stadium. Kick off will be at 15:30 local time.
It wasn’t exactly plain sailing for the Orlando boys during the best-of-three round of the Major League Soccer play-offs. Sure, they got the job done at home against Charlotte first up, as many suspected that they would, but they couldn’t finish the job in game two, tying 0-0 on the road, before losing on penalties.
That defeat in Charlotte meant that Oscar Pareja’s men got a second bite of the cherry on home soil, but they were less effective, tying 1-1, before sneaking through via penalties.
For the Five Stripes, there didn’t seem to be much hope ahead of the best-of-three, as they were up against a fearsome Inter Miami. The same Inter Miami that many MLS fans expected to lift the MLS Cup.
However, despite being the underdogs, and despite losing the first of their best-of-three tie against Miami, the Five Stripes refused to throw in the towel, showing a never-say-die attitude, playing some super effective soccer to beat Lionel Messi & Co. home and away, securing the place in the Eastern Conference semifinals.
After that amazing turnaround against what most would call the best team in all of Major League Soccer, Gonzalo Pineda’s men may just fancy themselves to go all the way.
Orlando vs Atlanta United picks
The early lines have me salivating over the following pick:
Jamal Thiare to Score
Something of a late comer to the party for Atlanta United this season, Jamal Thiare is now a key man for the Five Stripes, and the threat that he offers on the break could well be key for the visitors on Saturday night.
The Senegalese forward has really nailed down a starting place over the last month or so, and he’s repaid the faith shown in him by scoring some important goals, few of which were more crucial than the two he notched against Inter Miami last time out.
Having scored twice against Inter Miami in Atlanta’s latest game, the forward should go to Inter&Co Stadium feeling confident.
What’s more, if we consider that Jamal Thiare, who scored when Atlanta last visited Orlando, is averaging 0.47 goals per 90 minutes, averaging also 2.12 shots and 1.10 shots on target, then odds of +333 on him scoring in this game look quite generous, let’s be honest.
Recap - Orlando vs Atlanta United best bets
Here’s a reminder of our Orlando vs Atlanta United best bets:
Jamal Thiare to Score @ +333 with BetMGM Sportsbook
More Major League Soccer betting tips
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Author
With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and analyst specializing in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.
With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and analyst specializing in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.