There’s UEFA Champions League action this week, with lots of games taking place across a variety of European destinations on both Tuesday and Wednesday.
In Portugal, on Tuesday night, Sporting and Arsenal go head-to-head. Can the hosts continue their good form under their new manager Jaoa Pereira? Or will the visitors thrive? Read on for our Sporting vs Arsenal predictions and picks.
Sporting vs Arsenal prediction
For the Sporting vs Arsenal game prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbons based on our analysis.
Sure, the Gunners are a tough side to face, but they struggled to guard against the counter away against Inter during the last round and could easily have conceded more goals, so don’t be surprised if they have similar struggles against a very strong home team.
Our Sporting vs Arsenal picks and predictions:
Francisco Trincao Over 0.5 Shots on Target @ +105 with BetMGM Sportsbook
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Sporting vs Arsenal betting odds
The table below shows the probabilities implied by the Moneyline odds ahead of this match, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sporting to Win | +200 | 33.3% | 34.1% | +0.8% |
Arsenal to Win | +125 | 44.4% | 37.1% | -7.3% |
Tie | +250 | 28.6% | 28.8% | +0.2% |
Sporting vs Arsenal head-to-head statistics
Interestingly, these two met in the UEFA Europa League back in 2023, when they drew 2-2 in Lisbon, before tying 1-1 in London, which preceded the Portuguese outfit winning on penalties.
Sporting vs Arsenal preview
This game will take place on 26/11/2024 at José Alvalade Stadium. Kick off will be at 15:00 EST.
Following the departure of head coach Ruben Amorim, who recently left Lisbon for Manchester, Sporting made a pleasing start to life under their new coach (Jaoa Pereira) at the weekend, beating lower-level team Amarante by six goals to nil. This will certainly be tougher for the Portuguese team.
However, let’s be honest, this is a team that can play, there’s no doubt about that. They’ve very strong at home, where they recently beat Manchester City by four goals to one in this competition.
For the visitors, the weekend went well as they got the better of Nottingham Forest in relatively comfortable fashion, winning by three goals to nil in front of a home crowd. As is the case for Tuesday’s hosts, though, this will be much harder.
Last time out in the UCL, we saw Mikel Arteta’s men come unstuck in Italy, where they lost by a goal to nil against Inter Milan. Can they improve on that effort? I’m not so sure.
Sporting vs Arsenal picks
Just one player bet appeals ahead of the UEFA Champions League clash in Lisbon.
Francisco Trincao Over 0.5 Shots on Target
As far as Tuesday’s Portuguese hosts are concerned, it’s goal-scoring extraordinaire Viktor Gyokeres who has been getting most of the plaudits, and rightly so. Let’s be honest, the Swede has been in staggeringly good form in front of goal and he’s clearly the main man for Sporting, but let’s not forget about Francisco Trincao, who is also very dangerous.
While Gyokeres has taken 44 shots in all competitions this season, Trincao is right up there with him having taken 42. Considering Gyokeres is priced as short as -333, Trincao looks very generously priced at +105.
As touched on, the winger/forward has been anything but shy to shoot this season, firing off 42 shots in all competitions, averaging 4.05 shots per 90 minutes. He also averages 1.06 shots on target per 90.
Speedy and a threat on the break, it’s not difficult to envisage the 24-year-old causing Arsenal’s back-line a few issues on Tuesday night, and given his stats, he’s worth betting on to register a shot on target at odds of +105.
Recap - Sporting vs Arsenal best bets
Here’s a quick recap of our Sporting vs Arsenal best bets:
Francisco Trincao Over 0.5 Shots on Target @ +105 with BetMGM Sportsbook
Before wagering on the UEFA Champions League, please make sure that you use a legal sportsbook. Check out our guide to the best soccer betting sites.