The Western Conference final has arrived and this year, two titans of Major League Soccer will battle it out for a place in MLS Cup final at Dignity Health Sports Park.
As a team desperate to get their hands on the main prize for the first time in a decade, can the hosts get the better of the team that has featured in four MLS Cup finals since 2016? Read on for our LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders predictions and picks.
LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders prediction
For the LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders game prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-2 tie based on our analysis.
Sure, the hosts can hurt teams at home and they could not be in better offensive form right now, but this is easily their toughest test yet. The Sounders know all about navigating the play-offs, as LAFC found out last weekend, so they can definitely make this a real test for the Galaxy.
Our LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders predictions and picks:
Seattle Sounders to Score Over 1.5 Goals @ +155 with BetMGM Sportsbook
Jordan Morris to Score @ +290 with BetMGM Sportsbook
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LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders betting odds
The table below shows the probabilities implied by the Moneyline odds ahead of this match, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
LA Galaxy to Win | -120 | 54.5% | 46.2% | -9.3% |
Seattle to Win | +290 | 25.6% | 26.3% | +0.8% |
Tie | +280 | 26.3% | 27.5% | +1.2% |
LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders head-to-head statistics
When the pair last met, the Sounders won by three goals to one on home soil. That was a Leagues Cup game, meaning that this will be the fourth renewal of this fixture during 2024. At this venue back in March, the Galaxy won by a goal to zero.
LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders preview
This game will take place on 30/11/2024 at Dignity Health Sports Park. Kick off will be at 19:00 local time.
As many predicted that they would, the Los Angeles Galaxy once again exploded into life on the field against Minnesota last time out, scoring six goals on their way to securing their place in the Western Conference final.
Sure, they endured a few defense bumps along the road, but all in all, it was another devastating display from the regular season top scorers. Greg Vanney’s men looked pumped and ready for action, there can be no denying that, so the Sounders will have their work cut out defensively at Dignity Health Sports Park on Saturday evening.
As far as the visitors are concerned, the conference semi-finals were a more subdued affair, with the Sounders grinding it out against Galaxy’s city rivals, tying 1-1 before sneaking through thanks to an extra-time strike from the ever reliable Jordan Morris, who is absolutely a Seattle Sounders legend.
The question is can the visitors keep things as tight in Carson? Almost certainly not, but they will enjoy playing on the break against their rather open hosts, so we shouldn’t write them off.
LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders picks
Two bets appeal ahead of this huge Major League Soccer fixture.
Seattle Sounders to Score Over 1.5 Goals
Listen, the hosts looked in rampant mood last time out and they have more than enough quality to hurt any MLS team, so they’ll likely score goals here, but based on the early lines, a bet on the Sounders to score at least a couple of goals in this fixture appeals most.
We know that for all their offensive strength, the Galaxys struggle to guard against the break, and they struggle to keep clean sheets. Last weekend, the Loons scored twice at this venue, while they could easily have had more.
In recent times, we’ve also seen the likes of Houston, the Vancouver Whitecaps, the Portland Timbers and St. Louis City notch multiple goals against Vanney’s men, so a team of Seattle’s offensive quality can definitely make headway at Dignity Health Sports Park.
Moreover, when the teams last met, back in August, the Sounders showed more than enough quality to hurt the Galaxy, scoring three goals, while they ended the regular season with some strong offensive performances on the road, scoring multiple goals in Columbus and Vancouver.
All in all, Brian Schmetzer’s men simply have too much quality, while the hosts aren’t secure enough at the back, for odds of +155 not to be considered generous.
Jordan Morris to Score
Speaking of generous odds, Jordan Morris looks nice priced to score. The Sounders forward has enjoyed another fruitful campaign, while we know that he’s a big-game man, coming up with a priceless goal to send his team through last weekend.
During the regular season, Morris scored 13 goals, averaging a pleasing 0.42 goals per 90 minutes, not to mention 0.41 xG per 90 minutes.
A clear danger on the break, Morris’ pace, power and directness make him a huge threat in games against offensively-minded home teams, and with this in mind, given his rather encouraging numbers, it’s not difficult to conclude that odds of +290 are just too big to ignore.
Recap - LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders best bets
Here’s a quick reminder of Sporting Post’s LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders best bets:
Seattle Sounders to Score Over 1.5 Goals @ +155 with BetMGM Sportsbook
Jordan Morris to Score @ +290 with BetMGM Sportsbook
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