Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, Picks & Best Bets

On Saturday evening, the biggest of the season for both Orlando and the New York Red Bulls will unfold at Inter&Co Stadium, where it’s time for the Eastern Conference final.

One of these two teams will make it through to MLS Cup final, but which one will it be? Read on for our Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls predictions and picks.

Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls prediction

For the Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls prediction, we believe the final score will be a 3-2 win for Orlando based on our analysis.

The visitors have done a super job in making it this far, beating both the Columbus Crew and NYCFC, but this could be where the road ends. Let’s face it, the hosts have more about them in the final third and that could be telling on Saturday, though don’t expect the Red Bulls to go down without a fight.

Our Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls predictions and picks:

• Over 3.0 Asian Total @ +130 with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls betting odds

The table below shows the probabilities implied by the Moneyline odds ahead of this match, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.

Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head statistics

This will be the third renewal of this fixture to take place in 2024. The pair last met at Red Bull Arena back in June, when the Red Bulls won by a goal to zero. In March, at Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando won by a goal to zero.

Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls preview

This game will take place on 30/11/2024 at Inter&Co Stadium. Kick off will be at 19:30 EST.

The Orlando boys have arguably shown a different side to their game during these play-offs, showing that they can absolutely dig deep and grind it out in less stylish fashion when necessary.

Having edged ahead against Charlotte in low-scoring fashion, there was more of the same against the Five Stripes, who tried and tried but couldn’t find a way through against a resolute Orlando defense. Can the hosts repeat such an effort here? Or will they need to be a bit more explosive to overcome a Red Bulls side that has carried a huge offensive threat in the play-offs?

As mentioned above, the Red Bulls have looked dangerous in the postseason, especially on the break, with the likes of Lewis Morgan and Dante Vanzeir causing lots of problems for teams on the break.

Having scored twice against the Columbus Crew in timely fashion, the Sandro Schwarz’s men shifted through the gears to score twice against their rivals at Yankee Stadium last time out, an effort which tells us that they could very easily go to Inter&Co Stadium and make headway.

Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls picks

Just one bet appeals looking at the early lines ahead of the Eastern Conference final.

Over 3.0 Asian Total

Both teams made it this far thanks to low-scoring wins last time out, but we shouldn’t fall into the trap of recency bias and assume that the goals will stay away from Inter&Co Stadium on Saturday evening.

We know how strong the hosts can be offensively, especially in front of a home crowd, and sure, they scored just once against Atlanta, but it could easily have been more.

Furthermore, we’ve seen the visitors improve offensively, and they will certainly cause problems for the Lions on the break. After all, this is a team that has scored eight goals in its last four away games, which is not something to ignore.

It’s worth also considering that we’re talking about two of the best teams in terms of expected goals for from the regular season, with the pair averaging 3.14 xG per 90 minutes.

Let’s be honest, both teams are also likely to know that they can’t afford to sit back and look to edge this one, so we should see an open and attacking game unfold at Inter&Co Stadium, one that is ultimately goal-filled.

Recap - Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls best bets

To recap, our Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls best bets are as follows:

Over 3.0 Asian Total @ +130 with DraftKings Sportsbook

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