Atalanta vs Real Madrid Prediction, Picks & Best Bets

With the UEFA Champions League back for one final time before we see out the year, it’s all about strengthening what is already a strong position for Atalanta.

The men from Bergamo find themselves near the top of the new UCL league table, and they’ll be looking for more joy when facing an underperforming Real Madrid team. Read on for our Atalanta vs Real Madrid predictions and best bets.

Atalanta vs Real Madrid prediction

For the Atalanta vs Real Madrid match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-2 tie based on our analysis.

The visitors have struggled, but they’re not a team to discount, while the hosts can cause teams problems, but do they really have the defensive solidity to pull off a win here? I’m not convinced, so an entertaining stalemate could be on the cards.

Our Atalanta vs Real Madrid predictions and picks:

• Ademola Lookman to Score @ +220 with BetMGM Sportsbook

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Atalanta vs Real Madrid betting odds

The table below shows the probabilities implied by the match result odds ahead of this match, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.

Atalanta vs Real Madrid head-to-head statistics

This will be the first competitive meeting between the pair since 2021, when they played each other in the last-16 of this competition, with Real Madrid winning by a goal to zero in Bergamo, before sealing the deal with a 3-1 win at home.

Atalanta vs Real Madrid preview

This game will take place on 10/12/2024 at Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy. Kick off will be at 15:00 EST.

Having thrived in the UEFA Europa League last season, scooping the main prize thanks to a fantastic showing in the final, the men from Bergamo would have been hopeful of impressing in the Europe’s premier competition, and impress they have.

The men coached by Gian Piero Gasperini, who is one of the longest-serving head coaches in the competition, are yet to taste defeat in the UCL this term, winning three, tying one out of their four games. They’ve scored goals when it matters most and have looked strong at the back too, nullifying opponents on a regular basis.

La Dea will go into this fixture in fine form overall too, winning last time out against AC Milan, winning each of their last nine in all competitions. Real Madrid beware.

For the visitors, the picture isn’t so rosy. The serial UCL winners were recently beaten in Bilbao, while they were downed (and in rather convincing fashion) when they last played on the continent too, losing away to Liverpool.

While the hosts are without a defeat since September, winning each of their last nine games, the Madrid boys have won just four of the last eight, each of the other four, which just won’t do. They’ll be looking to step on the gas on Tuesday evening, but this game in Bergamo doesn’t exactly represent the best opportunity to improve.

Atalanta vs Real Madrid picks

As the most prolific Champions League winners of all time take a trip to Italy, one player prop appeal.

Ademola Lookman to Score

Outstanding in the Europa League final last season, scoring a wonderfully taken hat-trick, Ademola Lookman has continued to thrive for Atalanta this season, while he’s certainly made his presence felt in the UCL.

A scorer against Stuttgart and Shakhtar, Lookman has notched two goals in the competition so far, while he has nine goals for the season in general, averaging a very pleasing 0.87 goals per 90 minutes.

The English winger/forward will take to the field on Tuesday having scored a late winner against AC Milan at the weekend, so expect him to be chomping at the bit to have a go at a Real Madrid rearguard that has looked anything but secure of late.

Consider also that Lookman averages 0.54 xG per 90 minutes this season, plus has a rather eye-catching average of 3.92 shots (and 1.63 shots on target ) per 90, and odds of +220 become well worth taking.

Recap - Atalanta vs Real Madrid best bets

Here’s a quick recap of our Atalanta vs Real Madrid best bets:

Ademola Lookman to Score @ +220 with BetMGM Sportsbook

More Champions League betting tips:

• Champions League Parlay Picks for 11/12/2024

Before wagering on the UEFA Champions League, please make sure that you use a legal sportsbook. Check out our guide to the best soccer betting sites.