The Edmonton Oilers (15-10-2) welcome the Tampa Bay Lightning (14-9-2) to Rogers Place on Tuesday night in what promises to be an electrifying matchup between two of the NHL's most dynamic offensive teams.

Both teams enter the contest riding impressive winning streaks, with the Lightning securing victories in their last two games while the Oilers have won five of their previous six home encounters.

The Lightning's offensive prowess is evident in their 3.92 goals per game average, led by Nikita Kucherov's 37 points and Brayden Point's recent surge of form with two goals in their last outing.

Edmonton counters with their own firepower, featuring Connor McDavid's 37 points and Leon Draisaitl's 36 points, while having demonstrated improved defensive capabilities by allowing just seven goals in their last three home games.

Recent history adds another layer of intrigue to this matchup, as Tampa Bay has claimed victory in seven of their last ten meetings with Edmonton, including a high-scoring 7-4 win in their previous encounter at Rogers Place.

As these NHL powerhouses prepare to face off, both teams' recent defensive improvements and explosive offensive capabilities suggest fans could be in for another memorable chapter in this compelling rivalry.

Edmonton Oilers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning: who will win?

For tonight's Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup, our predictive model gives the Oilers a 57.2% chance of defeating the Lightning.

Edmonton Oilers: 57.2% win probability

  • Strong recent form (WWLWW in last 5 games)
  • Better goal-scoring efficiency (82 goals in 27 games)
  • Higher points percentage (32 points in 27 games vs Lightning's 30 in 25)

Tampa Bay Lightning: 42.8% win probability

  • Inconsistent recent form (WWLWL in last 5 games)
  • Fewer games played (25 vs Oilers' 27, potentially rusty)
  • Lower position in conference standings (7th vs Oilers' 4th in respective divisions)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Edmonton Oilers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning odds

Edmonton OilersTampa Bay Lightning
moneyline-145 (via Caesars Sportsbook)+125 (via bet365 US)

Key stats

  • 1
    The Edmonton Oilers have won 15 out of 27 matches this season.
  • 2
    The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 14 out of 25 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 32 points, the Edmonton Oilers holds the 7th position in the league standings.
  • 4
    Tampa Bay Lightning's 30 points place them 7th in the rankings.

Edmonton Oilers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning form

Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Dec 8, 2024
St. Louis Blues2:4Edmonton Oilers
Dec 6, 2024
Columbus Blue Jackets3:6Edmonton Oilers
Dec 4, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights1:0Edmonton Oilers
Dec 1, 2024
Colorado Avalanche1:4Edmonton Oilers
Nov 30, 2024
Utah Hockey Club3:4Edmonton Oilers
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Dec 8, 2024
Vancouver Canucks2:4Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 6, 2024
San Jose Sharks1:8Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 1, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs5:3Tampa Bay Lightning
Nov 29, 2024
Nashville Predators2:3Tampa Bay Lightning
Nov 28, 2024
Washington Capitals5:4Tampa Bay Lightning

Edmonton Oilers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning head to head

Edmonton Oilers

50%

Tampa Bay Lightning

50%

Dec 15, 2023

Edmonton Oilers

4 : 7

Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 18, 2023

Tampa Bay Lightning

6 : 4

Edmonton Oilers

Jan 20, 2023

Edmonton Oilers

5 : 3

Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 9, 2022

Tampa Bay Lightning

2 : 3

Edmonton Oilers

Mar 13, 2022

Edmonton Oilers

4 : 1

Tampa Bay Lightning

Feb 24, 2022

Tampa Bay Lightning

5 : 3

Edmonton Oilers