The Dallas Stars (19-11-0) welcome the Toronto Maple Leafs (19-10-2) to American Airlines Center on Wednesday night in what promises to be an intriguing cross-conference matchup between two of the NHL's top defensive teams.
Both teams enter the contest riding impressive momentum, with Toronto having won three of their last four games including a 5-3 victory over Buffalo, while Dallas comes in following consecutive wins against Washington and St. Louis.
The Stars boast the league's best defense, allowing just 2.50 goals per game, and have been nearly unstoppable at home with a 13-3-0 record this season.
However, the Maple Leafs have historically dominated this matchup, winning seven of their last eight meetings against Dallas, with John Tavares coming off a hat-trick performance in their latest outing.
The goaltending battle between Dallas' Jake Oettinger (16-7-0, 2.33 GAA) and Toronto's Dennis Hildeby will be crucial, as both teams rank in the top six for goals against average.
This Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars prediction shapes up as a compelling defensive struggle between two Stanley Cup contenders looking to strengthen their positions in their respective divisions.
Dallas Stars vs. Toronto Maple Leafs: who will win?
For tonight's Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 65.2% chance of defeating the Leafs.
Dallas Stars: 65.2% win probability
- Superior defensive efficiency (75 goals against in 30 games)
- Strong goal-scoring capability (98 goals for in 30 games)
- Excellent home record (19 wins in 30 games played)
Toronto Maple Leafs: 34.8% win probability
- Lower scoring output (92 goals in 31 games compared to Stars' 98 in 30)
- Inconsistent recent form (WLWWL in last 5 games)
- Weaker road performance (10 losses in 31 games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Dallas Stars vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds
| Dallas Stars | Toronto Maple Leafs | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline | -135 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) | +115 (via Caesars Sportsbook) |
Key stats
- 1The Dallas Stars have won 19 out of 30 matches this season.
- 2The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 19 out of 31 matches this season.
- 3With 38 points, the Dallas Stars holds the 5th position in the league standings.
- 4Toronto Maple Leafs's 40 points place them 4th in the rankings.
Dallas Stars vs. Toronto Maple Leafs form
Dallas Stars vs. Toronto Maple Leafs head to head
Dallas Stars
0%
Toronto Maple Leafs
100%
Feb 8, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
5 : 4
Dallas Stars
Oct 27, 2023
Dallas Stars
1 : 4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 7, 2022
Dallas Stars
0 : 4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Oct 20, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 : 2
Dallas Stars
Apr 8, 2022
Dallas Stars
3 : 4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 15, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 : 0
Dallas Stars
