Saturday’s final Premier League game sees Arsenal travel to take on Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park, where the teams will meet for the second time in a matter of days.
Can the hosts make it six league games without defeat? Or will the visitors extend their unbeaten run (in all competitions) to ten? Read on for our Crystal Palace vs Arsenal predictions and picks.
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal prediction
For the Crystal Palace vs Arsenal game prediction, we believe the final score will be a 1-1 draw based on our analysis.
Both teams are clearly capable in the offensive third, though both teams are also good at keeping it tight, while after conceding a few goals of late, the visitors may just opt to take the low-key approach, so don’t be surprised if we see a low-scoring game unfold in South London.
Our Crystal Palace vs Arsenal predictions and picks:
Under 2.5 Goals @ +100 with BetMGM Sportsbook
Crystal Palace +0.5 Asian Handicap @ +130 with BetMGM Sportsbook
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Crystal Palace vs Arsenal betting odds
The table below shows the probabilities implied by the match result odds ahead of this match, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bet | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Crystal Palace to Win | +475 | 17.4% | 20.3% | +2.9% |
Arsenal to Win | -175 | 63.5% | 51.4% | -12.1% |
Tie | +300 | 25.0% | 28.3% | +3.3% |
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal head-to-head statistics
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal preview
This game will take place on 21/12/2024 at Selhurst Park. Kick off will be at 12:30 EST.
Not for the first time this week, Palace and Arsenal will clash. After Wednesday night’s antics at the Emirates, where they certainly got competitive, scoring two goals, losing by the narrowest of margins, the Eagles should fancy themselves to get a result back on home soil.
There was little wrong with the way that Oliver Glasner’s men did battle during the week, while in truth, there hasn’t been much wrong with any of their recent efforts.
Let’s face it, we’re talking about a home team that has avoided defeat in five Premier League games, beating the likes of Brighton, holding Aston Villa, Newcastle and Manchester City to draws. Such form bodes well.
The Gunners also approach this game in promising form. Obviously, they got the better of Palace during the week, advancing to the final four of the EFL Cup, thanks in no small part to a hat-trick from Gabriel Jesus, who scored his first goals since October.
After drawing with Everton last weekend, that midweek-win was an important one for Arteta’s men, who’ve shown a fair amount of inconsistency in recent times, dropping points against both Fulham and the Toffees.
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal picks
Looking at the early lines here, two bets appeal:
Under 2.5 Goals
Sure, these two come into this game fresh off the back of sharing five goals just a few days ago, so we could certainly be forgiven for expecting goals to arrive on Saturday.
However, in front of a home crowd, in big games, the Eagles have done a good job of frustrating and keeping the goals down. In four of their five home games against top teams (Man United, Liverpool, Tottenham, Newcastle, Man City), less than three goals have been scored.
In their five home games against the big boys, Glasner’s men either kept a clean sheet or conceded just once in four out of five, scoring more than once in just one out of five, so don’t be too surprised if this is less of a goal-filled game than we saw during the week.
Crystal Palace +0.5 Asian Handicap
Let’s be honest, Arsenal’s home win against Palace during the week was far from overly convincing, so is it difficult to envisage the Gunners struggling a little at Selhurst Park? Absolutely not.
We know that the hosts can make life tough for even the best teams, they’ve shown that recently against City, Villa and Newcastle, while their performance at the Emirates on Wednesday evening was far from without promise.
Moreover, the Gunners haven’t always been at their best on the road in recent times, winning only two of their last six road games in all competitions. They’ve also won just one of their last six away games in the Premier League.
It’s also fair to say that the Eagles have risen the most when facing the big teams at home. They held United to a 0-0 draw, were absolutely in the fight against Liverpool, losing by just a goal to nil, they beat Spurs (and kept a clean sheet), and drew with both Newcastle and Man City. Such form tells me that they’ll likely make a better fist of getting something from this game than early odds of +130 suggest.
Recap - Crystal Palace vs Arsenal best bets
Let’s recap our Crystal Palace vs Arsenal best bets:
Under 2.5 Goals @ +100 with BetMGM Sportsbook
Crystal Palace +0.5 Asian Handicap @ +130 with BetMGM Sportsbook
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Author
With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and analyst specializing in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.
With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and analyst specializing in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.