The Toronto Maple Leafs are set to host the Winnipeg Jets at Scotiabank Arena in what promises to be an electrifying matchup between two of Canada's premier hockey franchises.

The Maple Leafs enter the contest with an impressive track record against their rivals, having won their last six consecutive meetings and claiming victory in eight of their previous ten head-to-head encounters.

William Nylander leads Toronto's offensive charge with 12 points in his last ten games, while the Jets counter with Kyle Connor's impressive 14-point performance over the same period.

Both teams have demonstrated strong form recently, with identical 6-win records in their last ten games, though the Jets have shown superior defensive statistics thanks to Connor Hellebuyck's outstanding .926 save percentage.

The historical dominance of the Maple Leafs in this matchup, combined with their strong home record of winning 14 of their last 19 games at Scotiabank Arena, suggests they might have the upper hand.

As these Canadian powerhouses prepare to face off, fans and analysts alike will be watching closely to see if the Maple Leafs can extend their winning streak against the Jets or if Winnipeg can finally turn the tables on their recent history.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Winnipeg Jets: who will win?

For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets matchup, our predictive model gives the Jets a 55.67% chance of defeating the Leafs.

Winnipeg Jets: 55.67% win probability

  • League-leading defense (87 goals against in 35 games)
  • Superior goal differential (+41, best in Western Conference)
  • Conference-leading points total (49 points in 35 games)

Toronto Maple Leafs: 44.33% win probability

  • Lower points percentage (44 points in 34 games vs Jets' 49 in 35)
  • Weaker defensive record (93 goals against vs Jets' 87)
  • Less consistent recent form (LWWWL vs Jets' WLWWL)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Winnipeg Jets odds

Toronto Maple LeafsWinnipeg Jets
moneyline-125 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)+105 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Key stats

  • 1
    The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 21 out of 34 matches this season.
  • 2
    The Winnipeg Jets have won 24 out of 35 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 44 points, the Toronto Maple Leafs holds the 4th position in the league standings.
  • 4
    Winnipeg Jets's 49 points place them 1st in the rankings.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Winnipeg Jets form

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest matches
L
W
W
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Dec 22, 2024
New York Islanders6:3Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 21, 2024
Buffalo Sabres3:6Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 19, 2024
Dallas Stars3:5Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 15, 2024
Buffalo Sabres3:5Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 15, 2024
Detroit Red Wings4:2Toronto Maple Leafs
Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg Jets
Latest matches
W
L
W
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Dec 22, 2024
Minnesota Wild0:5Winnipeg Jets
Dec 19, 2024
Anaheim Ducks3:2Winnipeg Jets
Dec 18, 2024
San Jose Sharks3:4Winnipeg Jets
Dec 15, 2024
Montreal Canadiens2:4Winnipeg Jets
Dec 13, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights3:2Winnipeg Jets

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Winnipeg Jets head to head

Toronto Maple Leafs

100%

Winnipeg Jets

0%

Oct 28, 2024

Winnipeg Jets

4 : 6

Toronto Maple Leafs

Jan 28, 2024

Winnipeg Jets

2 : 4

Toronto Maple Leafs

Jan 25, 2024

Toronto Maple Leafs

1 : 0

Winnipeg Jets

Jan 20, 2023

Toronto Maple Leafs

4 : 1

Winnipeg Jets

Oct 22, 2022

Winnipeg Jets

1 : 4

Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 31, 2022

Toronto Maple Leafs

7 : 3

Winnipeg Jets