After picking up an excellent result at the Etihad, the Toffees return home to face Nottingham Forest on Sunday, when they’ll be looking to extend what is already a pleasing unbeaten run.
The visitors also go in search of yet another positive result after extending their own Christmas cheer by beating Spurs last time out. Read on for our Everton vs Nottingham Forest predictions and picks.
Everton vs Nottingham Forest prediction
For the Everton vs Nottingham Forest game prediction, we believe the final score will be a 1-1 draw based on our analysis.
Both teams will enter this game feeling confident having both picked up some positive results in recent weeks, while neither side is conceding many goals, so a relatively low-scoring stalemate could be in the cards.
Our Everton vs Nottingham Forest predictions and picks:
Over 4.5 Cards @ +105 with DraftKings Sportsbook
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Everton vs Nottingham Forest betting odds
The table below shows the probabilities implied by the match result odds ahead of this match, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.
Bett | Odds | Implied probability | Our adjusted probability | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Everton to Win | +160 | 38.5% | 36.4% | -2.1% |
Nottingham Forest to Win | +163 | 38.0% | 34.2% | -3.8% |
Tie | +240 | 29.4% | 30.4% | +1.0% |
Everton vs Nottingham Forest head-to-head statistics
The last time Everton and Nottingham Forest met, the Toffees won by two goals to nil in front of a home crowd. They also beat Forest away from home last season. Sunday’s hosts are now without defeat in four games against the Tricky Trees.
Everton vs Nottingham Forest preview
This game will take place on 29/12/2024 at Goodison Park. Kick off will be at 10:00 EST.
Despite facing an out-of-form Manchester City team, the Toffees had what appeared to be a difficult task ahead of them following Christmas. However, Sean Dyche’s men showed zero fear at Etihad Stadium, recovering from an early set-back to steal a share of the points, thanks to a well-taken Iliman Ndiaye goal.
But for some poor decision making in the final third late in the game, it could have been all three points for Everton, though they did have goalkeeper Jordan Pickford, who saved from the spot, for keeping in the game early in the second half, so it’s likely that Dyche and his players were happy with the point.
Sunday’s hosts have now avoided defeat in each of their last four Premier League games, so there should be no shortage of confidence buzzing around the home locker room ahead of this game.
Confidence levels are likely to be high among the visitors too. The Tricky Trees continued their own promising run by beating Spurs last time out, keeping a clean sheet in the process.
Nuno Espirito Santo’s men, who find themselves in an impressive third position, have now won four games on the spin, beating some teams such as Aston Villa, Man United and Tottenham, so they’ll definitely fancy themselves to do some damage at Goodison Park.
Everton vs Nottingham Forest picks
Just one bet appeals ahead of Sunday’s fixture at Goodison Park.
Over 4.5 Cards
From a betting point of view, ‘Over 4.5 Cards’ really does appeal at odds of +105. For starters, referee Tony Harrington hasn’t exactly been shy to show the cards of late, brandishing five when taking charge of Wolves vs Man United just a few days ago, while he showed eight cards when refereeing the fixture between Liverpool and Fulham before that.
This will likely be viewed as a winnable game by both too, so we shouldn’t be surprised to see two games going fully at it, promoting strong challenges. When the teams last met at Goodison Park, six cards were shown.
Moreover, the Toffees have had no shortage of players go into the book in recent weeks. They picked up four cards last time out, four against Chelsea and three against Arsenal.
Similarly, the Nottingham Forest players haven’t exactly been behaving themselves of late, with the Tricky Trees picking up three bookings against Spurs and four against Brentford.
It’s also worth noting that Nottingham Forest easily ranks in the top half for both fouls committed and fouls received, which only adds to the idea that ‘Over 4.5 Cards’ is a little generously priced at +105.
Recap - Everton vs Nottingham Forest best bets
Here’s a quick recap of our Everton vs Nottingham Forest best bets:
Over 4.5 Cards @ +105 with DraftKings Sportsbook
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Author
With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and analyst specializing in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.
With over 12 years of experience, Bradley Gibbs is a seasoned sports betting writer and analyst specializing in uncovering value bets across football, horse racing, tennis, and golf. His extensive coverage of these sports has been featured on numerous websites and in The Racing & Football Outlook, a renowned UK betting publication. Bradley's expertise lies in identifying betting edges and delivering insightful, data-driven content for informed wagering.