The Pittsburgh Penguins (16-16-5) and New York Islanders (14-15-7) are set to face off in the second game of their back-to-back series at PPG Paints Arena, following the Islanders' impressive 6-3 victory on Saturday night.

Both Metropolitan Division rivals find themselves in a critical stretch of the season, with Pittsburgh sitting fourth in the division while the Islanders look to climb from their seventh-place position.

The Penguins' high-powered offense, converting 24.5% of their power play opportunities, will test an Islanders penalty kill unit that has struggled this season at a league-worst 64.4% success rate.

Recent history favors the Islanders, who have won seven of the last ten meetings between these teams, including their last three matchups.

Pittsburgh's home record of 10-7-2 this season could prove crucial as they seek revenge, with Sidney Crosby continuing to lead their offensive charge with 39 points on the season.

This Metropolitan Division clash promises to be an intriguing battle as both teams look to gain valuable points in their pursuit of playoff positioning in the Eastern Conference.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Islanders: who will win?

For tonight's Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders matchup, our predictive model gives the Penguins a 68.33% chance of defeating the Islanders.

Pittsburgh Penguins: 68.33% win probability

  • Superior offensive output (115 goals scored vs Islanders' 99)
  • Better overall record (16 wins vs Islanders' 14)
  • Stronger recent form (LWLWW vs Islanders' WLWLL)

New York Islanders: 31.67% win probability

  • Struggling offense (99 goals scored, among bottom third in conference)
  • Poor goal differential (-17 compared to Penguins' -24)
  • Lower points total (35 points in 36 games vs Penguins' 37 in 37)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Islanders odds

Pittsburgh PenguinsNew York Islanders
moneyline-120 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)+100 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Key stats

  • 1
    The Pittsburgh Penguins have won 16 out of 37 matches this season.
  • 2
    The New York Islanders have won 14 out of 36 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 37 points, the Pittsburgh Penguins holds the 9th position in the league standings.
  • 4
    New York Islanders's 35 points place them 12th in the rankings.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Islanders form

Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Latest matches
L
W
L
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Dec 29, 2024
New York Islanders6:3Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 24, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers3:7Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 22, 2024
New Jersey Devils3:0Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 20, 2024
Nashville Predators4:5Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 18, 2024
Los Angeles Kings2:3Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Islanders
New York Islanders
Latest matches
W
L
W
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Dec 29, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins3:6New York Islanders
Dec 24, 2024
Buffalo Sabres7:1New York Islanders
Dec 22, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs3:6New York Islanders
Dec 18, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes4:0New York Islanders
Dec 15, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks5:3New York Islanders

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Islanders head to head

Pittsburgh Penguins

33%

New York Islanders

67%

Dec 29, 2024

New York Islanders

6 : 3

Pittsburgh Penguins

Nov 6, 2024

New York Islanders

4 : 3

Pittsburgh Penguins

Apr 17, 2024

New York Islanders

5 : 4

Pittsburgh Penguins

Feb 21, 2024

Pittsburgh Penguins

4 : 5

New York Islanders

Dec 31, 2023

Pittsburgh Penguins

3 : 1

New York Islanders

Dec 28, 2023

New York Islanders

0 : 7

Pittsburgh Penguins