The Dallas Stars (21-13-1) welcome the Buffalo Sabres (14-19-4) to the American Airlines Center on Tuesday night, with both teams riding contrasting waves of momentum heading into their final game of 2024.
The Sabres arrive in Dallas on an unexpected three-game winning streak, including impressive victories over St. Louis, Chicago, and the Islanders, while the Stars look to build on their dominant 5-1 win over the Blackhawks.
Dallas has been nearly unstoppable at home this season, posting a stellar 13-5-1 record, while Buffalo has struggled on the road with a 7-9-1 mark.
The matchup presents an intriguing contrast between Dallas's stingy defense, allowing just 2.54 goals per game, and Buffalo's recent offensive explosion that has produced 17 goals in their last three games.
These teams have already met once this season, with the Sabres claiming a 4-2 victory on their home ice, though the circumstances and momentum surrounding both clubs have shifted significantly since that encounter.
As both teams prepare for this cross-conference clash, key performers like Dallas's Matt Duchene, who has recorded assists in six of his last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents, and Buffalo's Tage Thompson, leading his team with 18 goals, could prove decisive in determining the outcome.
Dallas Stars vs. Buffalo Sabres: who will win?
For tonight's Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 58% chance of defeating the Sabres.
Dallas Stars: 58% win probability
- Superior defensive efficiency (89 goals against in 35 games)
- Better overall record (21 wins vs 14 for Buffalo)
- Higher points percentage (43 points in 35 games vs 32 in 37)
Buffalo Sabres: 42% win probability
- Poor defensive record (124 goals against in 37 games)
- Struggling on the road (19 losses overall)
- Inconsistent scoring (114 goals for in 37 games, bottom half of league)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Dallas Stars vs. Buffalo Sabres odds
| Dallas Stars | Buffalo Sabres | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline | -218 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) | +180 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) |
Key stats
- 1The Dallas Stars have won 21 out of 35 matches this season.
- 2The Buffalo Sabres have won 14 out of 37 matches this season.
- 3With 43 points, the Dallas Stars holds the 7th position in the league standings.
- 4Buffalo Sabres's 32 points place them 16th in the rankings.
Dallas Stars vs. Buffalo Sabres form
Dallas Stars vs. Buffalo Sabres head to head
Dallas Stars
50%
Buffalo Sabres
50%
Oct 22, 2024
Buffalo Sabres
4 : 2
Dallas Stars
Apr 10, 2024
Dallas Stars
3 : 2
Buffalo Sabres
Feb 7, 2024
Buffalo Sabres
1 : 2
Dallas Stars
Mar 10, 2023
Buffalo Sabres
4 : 10
Dallas Stars
Jan 24, 2023
Dallas Stars
2 : 3
Buffalo Sabres
Feb 27, 2022
Dallas Stars
4 : 2
Buffalo Sabres
