The Toronto Maple Leafs (22-13-2) will host the New York Islanders (14-16-7) at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday afternoon, with both teams seeking to bounce back from recent losses.
Toronto enters the matchup looking to snap a concerning three-game home losing streak, during which they've surrendered 16 goals, including a notable six-goal performance by these same Islanders just last week.
The Islanders, despite their overall record, have shown promising form lately, scoring nine goals in their last three games while demonstrating improved defensive stability on the road.
Key players to watch include Toronto's Mitch Marner, who leads his team with 50 points (13 goals, 37 assists), and the Islanders' Anders Lee, who has been productive with 31 points on the season.
Recent history between these teams adds intrigue to the matchup, with the Islanders holding a 6-4-0 record in their last ten meetings against the Maple Leafs.
This Metropolitan Division versus Atlantic Division clash promises to be an compelling afternoon of hockey, as both teams aim to establish momentum heading into the new year.
Our comprehensive analysis breaks down all the factors that could determine which team emerges victorious in this cross-division showdown.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders: who will win?
For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 54.33% chance of defeating the Isles.
Toronto Maple Leafs: 54.33% win probability
- Higher league position (4th in Eastern Conference vs 13th)
- Superior goal-scoring ability (115 goals for vs 101)
- Better win-loss record (22-13 vs 14-16)
New York Islanders: 45.67% win probability
- Poor goal differential (-18 compared to Leafs' +10)
- Lower points total (35 points vs 46 points)
- Inconsistent recent form (LWLWL showing instability)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders odds
| Toronto Maple Leafs | New York Islanders | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline | -142 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) | +125 (via bet365 US) |
Key stats
- 1The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 22 out of 37 matches this season.
- 2The New York Islanders have won 14 out of 37 matches this season.
- 3With 46 points, the Toronto Maple Leafs holds the 4th position in the league standings.
- 4New York Islanders's 35 points place them 13th in the rankings.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders form
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders head to head
Toronto Maple Leafs
17%
New York Islanders
83%
Dec 22, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 : 6
New York Islanders
Feb 6, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
2 : 3
New York Islanders
Jan 12, 2024
New York Islanders
4 : 3
Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 12, 2023
New York Islanders
4 : 3
Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 21, 2023
New York Islanders
7 : 2
Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 24, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs
5 : 2
New York Islanders
