The Los Angeles Kings (22-10-5) welcome the Tampa Bay Lightning (20-13-2) to Crypto.com Arena on Saturday night in what promises to be an electrifying matchup between two of the NHL's most formidable teams.

The Kings enter the contest riding high on a three-game winning streak and boasting an impressive 13-2-1 record at home, while allowing just 2.54 goals per game under the stellar goaltending of Darcy Kuemper.

Tampa Bay's high-powered offense, averaging 3.86 goals per game and led by Nikita Kucherov's 54 points, will face a stern test against Los Angeles's league-leading defense.

The Kings' dynamic duo of Anze Kopitar and Adrian Kempe, who have combined for 30 goals and 45 assists this season, look to continue their impressive form against Lightning netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy.

While the Lightning have struggled recently with two consecutive losses, their road record of 9-7-1 suggests they cannot be underestimated.

This cross-conference clash features intriguing matchups across the ice, with both teams' special teams units potentially playing a decisive role in determining the outcome.

Los Angeles Kings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning: who will win?

For tonight's Los Angeles Kings vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup, our predictive model gives the Kings a 64.25% chance of defeating the Lightning.

Los Angeles Kings: 64.25% win probability

  • Strong defensive performance (95 goals against, 3rd best in Western Conference)
  • Excellent win-loss ratio (22-10 record, 0.688 win percentage)
  • Recent momentum (WWWLL, with 3 consecutive wins before recent losses)

Tampa Bay Lightning: 35.75% win probability

  • Inconsistent recent form (LLWWL, showing volatility)
  • Fewer games played (35 games vs league average of 39)
  • Lower points total (42 points, ranking 7th in Eastern Conference)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Los Angeles Kings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning odds

Los Angeles KingsTampa Bay Lightning
moneyline-122 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)+105 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Key stats

  • 1
    The Los Angeles Kings have won 22 out of 37 matches this season.
  • 2
    The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 20 out of 35 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 49 points, the Los Angeles Kings holds the 4th position in the league standings.
  • 4
    Tampa Bay Lightning's 42 points place them 7th in the rankings.

Los Angeles Kings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning form

Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles Kings
Latest matches
W
W
W
L
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Jan 1, 2025
New Jersey Devils0:3Los Angeles Kings
Dec 30, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers4:5Los Angeles Kings
Dec 28, 2024
Edmonton Oilers3:4Los Angeles Kings
Dec 22, 2024
Washington Capitals3:1Los Angeles Kings
Dec 21, 2024
Nashville Predators3:2Los Angeles Kings
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest matches
L
L
W
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Jan 3, 2025
San Jose Sharks2:1Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 29, 2024
Montreal Canadiens5:2Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 29, 2024
New York Rangers2:6Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 24, 2024
Florida Panthers0:4Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 22, 2024
Florida Panthers4:2Tampa Bay Lightning

Los Angeles Kings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning head to head

Los Angeles Kings

33%

Tampa Bay Lightning

67%

Mar 24, 2024

Los Angeles Kings

4 : 3

Tampa Bay Lightning

Jan 10, 2024

Tampa Bay Lightning

3 : 2

Los Angeles Kings

Jan 29, 2023

Tampa Bay Lightning

5 : 2

Los Angeles Kings

Oct 26, 2022

Los Angeles Kings

4 : 2

Tampa Bay Lightning

Jan 19, 2022

Los Angeles Kings

4 : 6

Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 15, 2021

Tampa Bay Lightning

3 : 2

Los Angeles Kings