The Tampa Bay Lightning (20-13-2) will face a significant challenge as they visit the Anaheim Ducks (16-18-4) at Honda Center on Sunday night, completing their third game in four days.
The NHL's highest-scoring offense, led by Nikita Kucherov's impressive 54 points (17 goals, 37 assists), will test their stamina against a Ducks team that has shown recent signs of improvement with three wins in their last four games.
While the Lightning's offense averages a league-leading 3.86 goals per game, they'll need to overcome fatigue and a determined Ducks defense that has limited opponents to a mere 9.6 shooting percentage, ranking fifth-best in the league.
The Ducks, despite ranking 31st in offense with 2.5 goals per game, have found renewed energy through Troy Terry's consistent performance (13 goals, 18 assists) and Lukas Dostal's solid goaltending.
This cross-conference matchup presents an intriguing contrast between Tampa Bay's explosive offense and Anaheim's improving defensive structure.
As both teams prepare for this compelling NHL contest, the question remains whether the Lightning can maintain their offensive prowess on tired legs or if the well-rested Ducks can capitalize on their home-ice advantage.
Anaheim Ducks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning: who will win?
For tonight's Anaheim Ducks vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup, our predictive model gives the Lightning a 57.67% chance of defeating the Ducks.
Tampa Bay Lightning: 57.67% win probability
- Superior offensive efficiency (136 goals scored in 36 games, 3.78 goals per game)
- Better defensive record (101 goals against in 36 games, 2.81 GA/game)
- Higher win percentage (20 wins in 36 games, 55.6% win rate)
Anaheim Ducks: 42.33% win probability
- Struggling offense (97 goals in 38 games, just 2.55 goals per game)
- Poor overall record (16 wins in 38 games, 42.1% win rate)
- Negative goal differential (-20 goals, allowing 117 while scoring 97)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Anaheim Ducks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning odds
| Anaheim Ducks | Tampa Bay Lightning | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline | +165 (via bet365 US) | -192 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) |
Key stats
- 1The Anaheim Ducks have won 16 out of 38 matches this season.
- 2The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 20 out of 36 matches this season.
- 3With 36 points, the Anaheim Ducks holds the 13th position in the league standings.
- 4Tampa Bay Lightning's 42 points place them 7th in the rankings.
Anaheim Ducks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning form
Anaheim Ducks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning head to head
Anaheim Ducks
17%
Tampa Bay Lightning
83%
Mar 25, 2024
Anaheim Ducks
2 : 3
Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 14, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
5 : 1
Anaheim Ducks
Feb 22, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning
6 : 1
Anaheim Ducks
Oct 27, 2022
Anaheim Ducks
2 : 4
Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 14, 2022
Tampa Bay Lightning
4 : 3
Anaheim Ducks
Jan 22, 2022
Anaheim Ducks
5 : 1
Tampa Bay Lightning
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