The Toronto Maple Leafs (24-13-2) welcome the Philadelphia Flyers (17-18-4) to Scotiabank Arena on Sunday evening in what promises to be an intriguing Eastern Conference matchup.
The Maple Leafs enter the contest riding high after winning eight of their last twelve games, including an impressive back-to-back sweep against the New York Islanders.
Toronto's offensive firepower, led by William Nylander's 23 goals and Mitch Marner's team-leading 51 points, will face a struggling Flyers defense that ranks second-to-last in goals against average at 3.6.
The Flyers, concluding a challenging six-game road trip, look to bounce back from their recent 5-2 loss to Vegas, with Travis Konecny (43 points) continuing to be their offensive catalyst.
Both teams face significant lineup challenges, as Toronto will be without star center Auston Matthews, while Philadelphia's goaltending situation remains uncertain with starter Samuel Ersson listed as day-to-day.
As these Atlantic and Metropolitan division rivals prepare to face off, the contrast between Toronto's solid defensive record (2.7 goals against average) and Philadelphia's offensive capabilities (3.0 goals per game) sets the stage for what could be a compelling hockey contest.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers: who will win?
For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 70.5% chance of defeating the Flyers.
Toronto Maple Leafs: 70.5% win probability
- Strong divisional position (1st in Atlantic Division with 52 points)
- Consistent winning record (25 wins in 40 games played)
- Superior goal differential (+15 with 126 goals for, 111 against)
Philadelphia Flyers: 29.5% win probability
- Poor defensive record (141 goals against, among bottom third in league)
- Inconsistent form (Recent form: LWLWL showing volatility)
- Lower points total (38 points in 39 games, 13th in Eastern Conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers odds
| Toronto Maple Leafs | Philadelphia Flyers | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline | -178 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | +154 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) |
Key stats
- 1The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 25 out of 40 matches this season.
- 2The Philadelphia Flyers have won 17 out of 39 matches this season.
- 3With 52 points, the Toronto Maple Leafs holds the 2nd position in the league standings.
- 4Philadelphia Flyers's 38 points place them 13th in the rankings.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers form
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers head to head
Toronto Maple Leafs
83%
Philadelphia Flyers
17%
Mar 19, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers
4 : 3
Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 14, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers
2 : 6
Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 16, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 : 3
Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 9, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers
2 : 6
Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 22, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 : 3
Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 2, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs
5 : 2
Philadelphia Flyers
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