The Tampa Bay Lightning welcome the Carolina Hurricanes to Amalie Arena on Tuesday night in what promises to be a compelling matchup between two of the Eastern Conference's top offensive teams.

The Hurricanes (24-14-2) enter the contest riding high after a 4-3 overtime victory against Pittsburgh, while the Lightning (20-15-2) look to snap a concerning four-game losing streak.

Both teams have showcased impressive offensive firepower this season, with Tampa Bay averaging 3.70 goals per game (2nd in NHL) and Carolina maintaining a solid 3.38 goals per game (6th in NHL).

The goaltending battle features two elite netminders, as Carolina's Pyotr Kochetkov (2.48 GAA) squares off against Tampa Bay's Andrei Vasilevskiy (2.37 GAA), both having strong seasons between the pipes.

Key players to watch include Tampa Bay's Nikita Kucherov, who has amassed 17 goals and 38 assists, and Carolina's dynamic duo of Martin Necas and Sebastian Aho, who have combined for 28 goals and 62 assists this season.

With both teams boasting top-10 defensive units and potent offensive arsenals, this matchup could prove pivotal in the tight Eastern Conference playoff race.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina Hurricanes: who will win?

For tonight's Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes matchup, our predictive model gives the Hurricanes a 62.5% chance of defeating the Lightning.

Carolina Hurricanes: 62.5% win probability

  • Superior goal differential (+21 compared to Lightning's +32)
  • Better recent form (WLWLW vs Lightning's LLLLW)
  • More consistent performance (24 wins in 40 games vs Lightning's 20 wins in 37 games)

Tampa Bay Lightning: 37.5% win probability

  • Poor recent form (Lost 4 of last 5 games - LLLLW)
  • Fewer games played (37 GP vs league average of 40, indicating potential schedule congestion ahead)
  • Lower points total (42 points vs Hurricanes' 50 points despite fewer games played)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina Hurricanes odds

Tampa Bay LightningCarolina Hurricanes
moneyline-105 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)-115 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Key stats

  • 1
    The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 20 out of 37 matches this season.
  • 2
    The Carolina Hurricanes have won 24 out of 40 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 42 points, the Tampa Bay Lightning holds the 7th position in the league standings.
  • 4
    Carolina Hurricanes's 50 points place them 4th in the rankings.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina Hurricanes form

Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest matches
L
L
L
L
W
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Jan 6, 2025
Anaheim Ducks4:1Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 5, 2025
Los Angeles Kings2:1Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 3, 2025
San Jose Sharks2:1Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 29, 2024
Montreal Canadiens5:2Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 29, 2024
New York Rangers2:6Tampa Bay Lightning
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes
Latest matches
W
L
W
L
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Jan 5, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins3:4Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 5, 2025
Minnesota Wild4:0Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 3, 2025
Florida Panthers1:3Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 1, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets4:3Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 29, 2024
New Jersey Devils2:5Carolina Hurricanes

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina Hurricanes head to head

Tampa Bay Lightning

50%

Carolina Hurricanes

50%

Oct 11, 2024

Carolina Hurricanes

1 : 4

Tampa Bay Lightning

Oct 4, 2024

Carolina Hurricanes

2 : 1

Tampa Bay Lightning

Sep 24, 2024

Tampa Bay Lightning

1 : 2

Carolina Hurricanes

Nov 25, 2023

Carolina Hurricanes

2 : 8

Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 12, 2023

Tampa Bay Lightning

0 : 4

Carolina Hurricanes

Oct 24, 2023

Tampa Bay Lightning

3 : 0

Carolina Hurricanes