The Pittsburgh Penguins (18-17-8) welcome the Ottawa Senators (19-18-3) to PPG Paints Arena for a crucial Eastern Conference matchup that could have significant playoff implications for both teams.
The Senators arrive in Pittsburgh looking to snap a concerning four-game losing streak during which they've managed to score just four goals, while the Penguins enter the contest with momentum after netting eight goals in their last two outings.
Sidney Crosby and Rickard Rakell have been driving the Penguins' offense with a combined 33 goals and 50 assists this season, while the Senators' top line of Tim Stutzle, Brady Tkachuk, and Drake Batherson has accounted for 43 goals and 72 assists.
Both teams have struggled with consistency in net, as Penguins' goaltender Tristan Jarry (.887 save percentage) and Senators' Anton Forsberg (.883 save percentage) look to improve their recent performances.
The matchup presents an intriguing contrast between Pittsburgh's high-scoring offense (3.07 goals per game) and Ottawa's typically stout defense (2.93 goals against per game).
As these Eastern Conference rivals prepare to face off, both teams will be seeking crucial points to improve their positions in their respective divisions, with the Penguins currently fifth in the Metropolitan and the Senators fifth in the Atlantic.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Ottawa Senators: who will win?
For tonight's Pittsburgh Penguins vs Ottawa Senators matchup, our predictive model gives the Penguins a 63.67% chance of defeating the Senators.
Pittsburgh Penguins: 63.67% win probability
- Superior offensive output (133 goals scored vs Senators' 114)
- Better overall point accumulation (44 points in 43 games vs Senators' 41 in 40)
- Higher win total (18 wins vs Senators' 17 in fewer games)
Ottawa Senators: 36.33% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLLLW in last 5 games)
- Weaker road performance (41 points in 40 games overall)
- Lower scoring efficiency (114 goals in 40 games, 2.85 goals per game)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Ottawa Senators odds
| Pittsburgh Penguins | Ottawa Senators | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline | -105 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) | -115 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) |
Key stats
- 1The Pittsburgh Penguins have won 18 out of 43 matches this season.
- 2The Ottawa Senators have won 19 out of 40 matches this season.
- 3With 44 points, the Pittsburgh Penguins holds the 9th position in the league standings.
- 4Ottawa Senators's 41 points place them 12th in the rankings.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Ottawa Senators form
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Ottawa Senators head to head
Pittsburgh Penguins
17%
Ottawa Senators
83%
Dec 15, 2024
Ottawa Senators
3 : 2
Pittsburgh Penguins
Sep 29, 2024
Ottawa Senators
2 : 5
Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 12, 2024
Ottawa Senators
2 : 1
Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 24, 2023
Ottawa Senators
5 : 4
Pittsburgh Penguins
Oct 28, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins
2 : 5
Ottawa Senators
Oct 2, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins
0 : 3
Ottawa Senators
