The Toronto Maple Leafs (27-14-2) welcome the Vancouver Canucks (18-12-10) to Scotiabank Arena on Saturday night in what promises to be an intriguing cross-conference matchup.

The Atlantic Division-leading Maple Leafs, coming off a tough 6-3 loss to Carolina that snapped their five-game winning streak, will look to bounce back with their strong offensive unit led by William Nylander's 24 goals and Mitch Marner's impressive 45 assists.

Vancouver enters the contest facing significant challenges, having lost three straight games and playing the second half of a back-to-back following their Friday night game against Carolina.

The contrast in recent form is stark, with Toronto winning five of their last six while Vancouver has dropped five of their previous six contests, including six of their last seven road games.

Both teams will need to overcome notable absences, as the Canucks will be without key players Elias Pettersson and Filip Hronek, while Toronto must adjust their lineup without Jake McCabe and Calle Jarnkrok.

With Toronto's solid defensive record of allowing just 2.7 goals per game facing off against Vancouver's struggling defense that concedes 3.2 goals per game, this matchup could prove decisive in both teams' pursuit of playoff positioning.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vancouver Canucks: who will win?

For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 56.67% chance of defeating the Canucks.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 56.67% win probability

  • Strong offensive output (135 goals scored in 43 games)
  • Excellent win-loss record (27-14 overall record)
  • Recent momentum (LWWWW in last 5 games)

Vancouver Canucks: 43.33% win probability

  • Poor recent form (LLLLW in last 5 games)
  • Defensive struggles (130 goals against in 41 games)
  • Lower points total (46 points vs Leafs' 56 points)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vancouver Canucks odds

Toronto Maple LeafsVancouver Canucks
moneyline-190 (via bet365 US)+160 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Key stats

  • 1
    The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 27 out of 43 matches this season.
  • 2
    The Vancouver Canucks have won 18 out of 41 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 56 points, the Toronto Maple Leafs holds the 2nd position in the league standings.
  • 4
    Vancouver Canucks's 46 points place them 8th in the rankings.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vancouver Canucks form

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest matches
L
W
W
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Jan 10, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes6:3Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 8, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers2:3Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 6, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers2:3Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 5, 2025
Boston Bruins4:6Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 3, 2025
New York Islanders1:2Toronto Maple Leafs
Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver Canucks
Latest matches
L
L
L
L
W
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Jan 11, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes2:0Vancouver Canucks
Jan 9, 2025
Washington Capitals2:1Vancouver Canucks
Jan 7, 2025
Montreal Canadiens5:4Vancouver Canucks
Jan 4, 2025
Nashville Predators3:0Vancouver Canucks
Jan 3, 2025
Seattle Kraken3:4Vancouver Canucks

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vancouver Canucks head to head

Toronto Maple Leafs

33%

Vancouver Canucks

67%

Jan 21, 2024

Vancouver Canucks

6 : 4

Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 12, 2023

Toronto Maple Leafs

5 : 2

Vancouver Canucks

Mar 5, 2023

Vancouver Canucks

4 : 1

Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 13, 2022

Toronto Maple Leafs

3 : 2

Vancouver Canucks

Mar 6, 2022

Toronto Maple Leafs

4 : 6

Vancouver Canucks

Feb 13, 2022

Vancouver Canucks

3 : 2

Toronto Maple Leafs