The Tampa Bay Lightning (23-15-3) bring their high-powered offense to TD Garden for a crucial Atlantic Division matchup against the Boston Bruins (21-19-5) on Tuesday night.

The Lightning enter the contest riding momentum from their impressive 5-2 victory over Pittsburgh, having won three of their last four games, while the Bruins recently snapped a concerning 0-5-1 skid with an overtime win against Florida.

Tampa Bay's league-leading offense (3.68 goals per game) has been particularly effective against Boston lately, winning their last three meetings including a convincing 4-1 victory just last week.

The goaltending matchup features Tampa Bay's Andrei Vasilevskiy against Boston's Jeremy Swayman, with both netminders looking to make their mark on this important divisional contest.

With just two points separating these teams in the standings and playoff positioning at stake, this matchup carries significant implications for both clubs' postseason aspirations.

Hockey fans won't want to miss this Lightning vs Bruins prediction as these longtime rivals continue their battle for Atlantic Division supremacy.

Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning: who will win?

For tonight's Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup, our predictive model gives the Lightning a 64.67% chance of defeating the Bruins.

Tampa Bay Lightning: 64.67% win probability

  • Superior offensive efficiency (151 goals scored in 41 games, 3.68 goals per game)
  • Better defensive record (113 goals against in 41 games, 2.76 GAA)
  • Higher points percentage (49 points in 41 games, 1.20 points per game)

Boston Bruins: 35.33% win probability

  • Poor defensive performance (142 goals against in 45 games, 3.16 GAA)
  • Struggling offense (116 goals in 45 games, 2.58 goals per game)
  • Recent poor form (Recent form: WLLLL, losing 4 of last 5 games)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning odds

Boston BruinsTampa Bay Lightning
moneyline+110 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)-125 (via bet365 US)

Key stats

  • 1
    The Boston Bruins have won 21 out of 45 matches this season.
  • 2
    The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 23 out of 41 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 47 points, the Boston Bruins holds the 7th position in the league standings.
  • 4
    Tampa Bay Lightning's 49 points place them 6th in the rankings.

Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning form

Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins
Latest matches
W
L
L
L
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Jan 11, 2025
Florida Panthers3:4Boston Bruins
Jan 10, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning4:1Boston Bruins
Jan 8, 2025
Edmonton Oilers4:0Boston Bruins
Jan 5, 2025
New York Islanders5:4Boston Bruins
Jan 5, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs6:4Boston Bruins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest matches
W
L
W
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Jan 12, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins2:5Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 12, 2025
New Jersey Devils3:2Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 10, 2025
Boston Bruins1:4Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 6, 2025
Anaheim Ducks4:1Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 5, 2025
Los Angeles Kings2:1Tampa Bay Lightning

Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning head to head

Boston Bruins

33%

Tampa Bay Lightning

67%

Jan 10, 2025

Tampa Bay Lightning

4 : 1

Boston Bruins

Mar 27, 2024

Tampa Bay Lightning

3 : 1

Boston Bruins

Feb 14, 2024

Boston Bruins

2 : 3

Tampa Bay Lightning

Jan 7, 2024

Boston Bruins

7 : 3

Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 21, 2023

Tampa Bay Lightning

5 : 4

Boston Bruins

Mar 25, 2023

Boston Bruins

2 : 1

Tampa Bay Lightning