The Colorado Avalanche (27-18-0-1) are set to host the Dallas Stars (28-15-1-0) at Ball Arena on Saturday afternoon in what promises to be a crucial Central Division matchup with significant playoff implications.
Both teams enter the contest looking to bounce back from recent setbacks, with the Stars dropping a 3-1 decision to Montreal and the Avalanche falling 4-3 to Edmonton in their previous outings.
The Stars have been one of the NHL's hottest teams, winning eight of their last ten games while showcasing an impressive defensive unit that has allowed just nine goals in their previous five contests.
Leading the offensive charge, Dallas's Matt Duchene continues his stellar season with 41 points, while Colorado's Nathan MacKinnon remains a dominant force as the NHL's points leader with 72.
The rivalry's recent history adds another layer of intrigue, as Dallas claimed a 5-3 victory in their only meeting this season back in November.
With both teams separated by just a few points in the standings and featuring some of the league's most dynamic players, this matchup could prove pivotal in determining Central Division supremacy as the season progresses.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars: who will win?
For tonight's Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 64% chance of defeating the Avs.
Dallas Stars: 64% win probability
- Superior defensive efficiency (108 goals against vs Avs' 144)
- Better points per game ratio (1.30 vs Avs' 1.20)
- More consistent goal scoring (141 goals for in 44 games vs 153 in 46 games)
Colorado Avalanche: 36% win probability
- Poor defensive record (144 goals against, 7th worst in Western Conference)
- Inconsistent recent form (LWLWL in last 5 games)
- Lower win percentage (58.7% vs Stars' 63.6%)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars odds
| Colorado Avalanche | Dallas Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline | -135 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) | +115 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) |
Key stats
- 1The Colorado Avalanche have won 27 out of 46 matches this season.
- 2The Dallas Stars have won 28 out of 44 matches this season.
- 3With 55 points, the Colorado Avalanche holds the 7th position in the league standings.
- 4Dallas Stars's 57 points place them 5th in the rankings.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars form
Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars head to head
Colorado Avalanche
17%
Dallas Stars
83%
Nov 30, 2024
Dallas Stars
5 : 3
Colorado Avalanche
Sep 28, 2024
Dallas Stars
4 : 2
Colorado Avalanche
Sep 24, 2024
Colorado Avalanche
2 : 3
Dallas Stars
May 18, 2024
Colorado Avalanche
1 : 2
Dallas Stars
May 16, 2024
Dallas Stars
3 : 5
Colorado Avalanche
May 14, 2024
Colorado Avalanche
1 : 5
Dallas Stars
