The historic rivalry between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens is set to add another chapter as the Atlantic Division foes face off at the Bell Centre on Saturday night.
The Maple Leafs (28-16-2) enter the contest fresh off an impressive 4-3 overtime victory against New Jersey, while the Canadiens (22-18-4) have been surging with eight wins in their last ten games, including a solid 3-1 road victory over Dallas.
Toronto has dominated recent matchups with a 7-2-1 record in their last 10 meetings against Montreal, though the teams have split their two encounters this season with each securing a victory on home ice.
Both teams will need to overcome significant personnel challenges, as the Maple Leafs may be without captain John Tavares due to injury, while the Canadiens look to maintain their momentum despite missing Emil Heineman.
The goaltending battle could prove decisive, with Toronto likely turning to Dennis Hildeby while Montreal's Samuel Montembeault aims to replicate his earlier season heroics that included a 48-save shutout against these same Maple Leafs.
This latest installment of one of hockey's most storied rivalries promises to deliver intense action as both teams vie for crucial points in the tight Atlantic Division standings.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs: who will win?
For tonight's Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 65% chance of defeating the Habs.
Toronto Maple Leafs: 65% win probability
- Higher league position (2nd in Eastern Conference with 58 points)
- Superior win record (28 wins vs Montreal's 22 wins)
- Better goal-scoring ability (140 goals for vs Montreal's 134)
Montreal Canadiens: 35% win probability
- Lower points total (48 points vs Toronto's 58)
- Poor goal differential (-10 compared to Toronto's +9)
- Lower position in standings (10th in Eastern Conference vs Toronto's 2nd)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds
| Montreal Canadiens | Toronto Maple Leafs | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline | +125 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) | -140 (via Caesars Sportsbook) |
Key stats
- 1The Montreal Canadiens have won 22 out of 44 matches this season.
- 2The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 28 out of 46 matches this season.
- 3With 48 points, the Montreal Canadiens holds the 10th position in the league standings.
- 4Toronto Maple Leafs's 58 points place them 2nd in the rankings.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs form
Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs head to head
Montreal Canadiens
17%
Toronto Maple Leafs
83%
Nov 10, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 : 1
Montreal Canadiens
Oct 9, 2024
Montreal Canadiens
1 : 0
Toronto Maple Leafs
Sep 28, 2024
Montreal Canadiens
1 : 2
Toronto Maple Leafs
Sep 26, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
2 : 1
Montreal Canadiens
Apr 6, 2024
Montreal Canadiens
2 : 4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 10, 2024
Montreal Canadiens
2 : 3
Toronto Maple Leafs
