The Tampa Bay Lightning (24-16-3) welcome the surging Detroit Red Wings (21-19-4) to Amalie Arena for what promises to be an electrifying Atlantic Division matchup on Saturday night.
The Lightning enter the contest powered by the NHL's fourth-highest scoring offense, averaging 3.63 goals per game behind the dynamic trio of Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point, and Brandon Hagel who have combined for an impressive 66 goals this season.
Detroit arrives with momentum, having won eight of their last ten games despite offensive struggles that have limited them to 2.91 goals per game.
The contrast between Tampa Bay's high-powered offense and Detroit's recent defensive challenges, allowing eight goals in their last two games, sets the stage for an intriguing tactical battle.
While the Lightning's Andrei Vasilevskiy has been stellar with a .912 save percentage, the Red Wings' Cam Talbot has held his own posting a respectable .906 save percentage this season.
As these longtime division rivals prepare to face off, both teams recognize the crucial implications this matchup holds for their respective playoff positioning in the competitive Atlantic Division race.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings: who will win?
For tonight's Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings matchup, our predictive model gives the Lightning a 71% chance of defeating the Wings.
Tampa Bay Lightning: 71% win probability
- Superior offensive output (157 goals scored, ranking among league's best)
- Better defensive efficiency (122 goals against compared to Detroit's 141)
- Higher points percentage (51 points in 43 games vs Detroit's 46 in 44)
Detroit Red Wings: 29% win probability
- Defensive struggles (141 goals against in 44 games)
- Lower scoring efficiency (129 goals scored vs Tampa's 157)
- Inferior road record (11th place in Eastern Conference with 46 points)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings odds
| Tampa Bay Lightning | Detroit Red Wings | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline | -200 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) | +170 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) |
Key stats
- 1The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 24 out of 43 matches this season.
- 2The Detroit Red Wings have won 21 out of 44 matches this season.
- 3With 51 points, the Tampa Bay Lightning holds the 6th position in the league standings.
- 4Detroit Red Wings's 46 points place them 11th in the rankings.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings form
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings head to head
Tampa Bay Lightning
33%
Detroit Red Wings
67%
Apr 1, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
2 : 4
Detroit Red Wings
Jan 22, 2024
Detroit Red Wings
2 : 1
Tampa Bay Lightning
Oct 14, 2023
Detroit Red Wings
6 : 4
Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 13, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning
5 : 0
Detroit Red Wings
Feb 26, 2023
Detroit Red Wings
0 : 3
Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 22, 2022
Detroit Red Wings
7 : 4
Tampa Bay Lightning
