The Boston Bruins (23-19-6) welcome the Ottawa Senators (24-19-4) to TD Garden for a pivotal Atlantic Division matchup that could shake up the standings, as both teams are currently locked in a four-way tie for fourth place.

The Senators enter the contest having won three of their last four road games, despite coming off a disappointing 5-0 loss to the Rangers, while the Bruins look to build momentum following their impressive 6-3 victory over San Jose.

Ottawa has dominated the season series so far, leading 2-0 and holding a strong 6-3-1 record in their last 10 meetings against Boston.

The matchup presents an intriguing contrast between Ottawa's ninth-ranked defense, allowing just 2.79 goals per game, and Boston's offensive capabilities led by David Pastrnak, who has accumulated 53 points from 22 goals and 31 assists this season.

Special teams could prove decisive, with Ottawa converting over 22 percent of their power play opportunities facing Boston's struggling penalty kill unit, which ranks 25th in the league.

As these Atlantic Division rivals prepare to face off, both teams recognize the significant implications this game holds for their playoff positioning and divisional standing.

Boston Bruins vs. Ottawa Senators: who will win?

For tonight's Boston Bruins vs Ottawa Senators matchup, our predictive model gives the Senators a 50.67% chance of defeating the Bruins.

Ottawa Senators: 50.67% win probability

  • Better goal differential (Even goal differential with 132 GF and 132 GA)
  • Superior recent form (LWWLW compared to Bruins' LWLWW)
  • More consistent scoring (132 goals in 47 games, 2.81 goals per game)

Boston Bruins: 49.33% win probability

  • Poor goal differential (-24, with 134 GF and 158 GA)
  • Lower points per game (1.06 compared to Senators' 1.11)
  • Defensive struggles (158 GA in 49 games, 3.22 GA per game)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Boston Bruins vs. Ottawa Senators odds

Boston BruinsOttawa Senators
moneyline-102 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)-105 (via bet365 US)

Key stats

  • 1
    The Boston Bruins have won 23 out of 49 matches this season.
  • 2
    The Ottawa Senators have won 24 out of 47 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 52 points, the Boston Bruins holds the 10th position in the league standings.
  • 4
    Ottawa Senators's 52 points place them 8th in the rankings.

Boston Bruins vs. Ottawa Senators form

Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins
Latest matches
L
W
L
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Jan 23, 2025
New Jersey Devils5:1Boston Bruins
Jan 20, 2025
San Jose Sharks3:6Boston Bruins
Jan 18, 2025
Ottawa Senators6:5Boston Bruins
Jan 15, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning2:6Boston Bruins
Jan 11, 2025
Florida Panthers3:4Boston Bruins
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators
Latest matches
L
W
W
L
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Jan 22, 2025
New York Rangers5:0Ottawa Senators
Jan 19, 2025
New Jersey Devils1:2Ottawa Senators
Jan 18, 2025
Boston Bruins5:6Ottawa Senators
Jan 17, 2025
Washington Capitals1:0Ottawa Senators
Jan 15, 2025
New York Islanders0:2Ottawa Senators

Boston Bruins vs. Ottawa Senators head to head

Boston Bruins

50%

Ottawa Senators

50%

Jan 18, 2025

Ottawa Senators

6 : 5

Boston Bruins

Nov 10, 2024

Boston Bruins

2 : 3

Ottawa Senators

Apr 16, 2024

Boston Bruins

1 : 3

Ottawa Senators

Mar 19, 2024

Boston Bruins

6 : 2

Ottawa Senators

Jan 26, 2024

Ottawa Senators

2 : 3

Boston Bruins

Mar 21, 2023

Boston Bruins

2 : 1

Ottawa Senators