The Dallas Stars (29-17-1) are set to face off against the Vegas Golden Knights (30-14-4) in a highly anticipated Western Conference showdown at the American Airlines Center on Friday night.

Both teams have demonstrated impressive form this season, with the Golden Knights leading the Pacific Division while averaging 3.38 goals per game, and the Stars holding strong in the Central Division with one of the NHL's best defensive records, allowing just 2.49 goals per game.

The matchup features an intriguing battle between Vegas's dynamic offense, led by Jack Eichel and Mark Stone's combined 97 points, against Dallas's stalwart defense anchored by Jake Oettinger, who boasts a .914 save percentage and 2.26 goals-against average.

Recent performances suggest a tightly contested affair, with Dallas having allowed only three goals in their last two games while Vegas continues to demonstrate their offensive prowess.

The Stars' defensive pairing of Thomas Harley and Miro Heiskanen has been particularly effective this season, combining for 14.0 defensive point shares, while the Golden Knights' balanced attack has made them one of the most formidable teams in the league.

As these Western Conference powerhouses prepare to clash, fans can expect an intense battle between Vegas's high-powered offense and Dallas's championship-caliber defense, setting the stage for what could be one of the season's most compelling matchups.

Dallas Stars vs. Vegas Golden Knights: who will win?

For tonight's Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 55.67% chance of defeating the Knights.

Dallas Stars: 55.67% win probability

  • Superior defensive efficiency (117 goals against in 47 games)
  • Better goal differential (+32 compared to Knights' +30)
  • Strong home position in Central Division (3rd place with 59 points)

Vegas Golden Knights: 44.33% win probability

  • Recent poor form (WLLLL in last 5 games)
  • Higher goals against (134 GA compared to Stars' 117)
  • Road game disadvantage (Stars have better home record)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Dallas Stars vs. Vegas Golden Knights odds

Dallas StarsVegas Golden Knights
moneyline-154 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)+130 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)

Key stats

  • 1
    The Dallas Stars have won 29 out of 47 matches this season.
  • 2
    The Vegas Golden Knights have won 30 out of 48 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 59 points, the Dallas Stars holds the 5th position in the league standings.
  • 4
    Vegas Golden Knights's 64 points place them 2nd in the rankings.

Dallas Stars vs. Vegas Golden Knights form

Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars
Latest matches
L
W
L
L
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Jan 22, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes2:1Dallas Stars
Jan 20, 2025
Detroit Red Wings1:4Dallas Stars
Jan 18, 2025
Colorado Avalanche6:3Dallas Stars
Jan 17, 2025
Montreal Canadiens3:1Dallas Stars
Jan 15, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs1:4Dallas Stars
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights
Latest matches
W
L
L
L
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Jan 24, 2025
St. Louis Blues2:4Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 20, 2025
St. Louis Blues5:4Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 19, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks5:3Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 18, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes3:2Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 15, 2025
Nashville Predators5:3Vegas Golden Knights

Dallas Stars vs. Vegas Golden Knights head to head

Dallas Stars

67%

Vegas Golden Knights

33%

Dec 7, 2024

Vegas Golden Knights

3 : 2

Dallas Stars

May 5, 2024

Dallas Stars

2 : 1

Vegas Golden Knights

May 4, 2024

Vegas Golden Knights

2 : 0

Dallas Stars

May 1, 2024

Dallas Stars

3 : 2

Vegas Golden Knights

Apr 30, 2024

Vegas Golden Knights

2 : 4

Dallas Stars

Apr 28, 2024

Vegas Golden Knights

2 : 3

Dallas Stars