The Tampa Bay Lightning (26-18-3) will look to strengthen their position in the Atlantic Division as they face the Detroit Red Wings (22-21-5) at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday night.
The Lightning enter the contest boasting one of the NHL's most potent offenses, averaging 3.61 goals per game, led by the dynamic trio of Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point, and Brandon Hagel who have combined for an impressive 69 goals and 101 assists this season.
Detroit has struggled to find consistency, scoring just seven goals in their last four games while allowing an average of 3.21 goals against per game, despite strong performances from Dylan Larkin and Alex DeBrincat.
The matchup presents a stark contrast in momentum, with Tampa Bay's Andrei Vasilevskiy posting a solid .914 save percentage and 2.37 goals-against average, while Detroit's Cam Talbot has faced challenges with a .902 save percentage.
Both teams' recent performances suggest an intriguing divisional clash, with the Lightning's high-powered offense facing off against a Red Wings squad desperate to improve their standing in the Atlantic.
As these longtime division rivals prepare to battle at Little Caesars Arena, fans can expect an intense matchup that could have significant implications for both teams' playoff aspirations.
Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning: who will win?
For tonight's Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup, our predictive model gives the Lightning a 55.33% chance of defeating the Wings.
Tampa Bay Lightning: 55.33% win probability
- League-leading offense (171 goals scored in 47 games)
- Strong recent form (3 wins in last 5 games - WLLWW)
- Better points percentage (55 points in 47 games vs Wings' 49 in 48)
Detroit Red Wings: 44.67% win probability
- Struggling defense (154 goals against in 48 games)
- Poor recent performance (3 losses in last 4 games - WLLLW)
- Lower scoring efficiency (136 goals in 48 games, 2.83 goals/game)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning odds
| Detroit Red Wings | Tampa Bay Lightning | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline | +122 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | -140 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) |
Key stats
- 1The Detroit Red Wings have won 22 out of 48 matches this season.
- 2The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 26 out of 47 matches this season.
- 3With 49 points, the Detroit Red Wings holds the 13th position in the league standings.
- 4Tampa Bay Lightning's 55 points place them 6th in the rankings.
Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning form
Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning head to head
Detroit Red Wings
50%
Tampa Bay Lightning
50%
Jan 19, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
5 : 1
Detroit Red Wings
Apr 1, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
2 : 4
Detroit Red Wings
Jan 22, 2024
Detroit Red Wings
2 : 1
Tampa Bay Lightning
Oct 14, 2023
Detroit Red Wings
6 : 4
Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 13, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning
5 : 0
Detroit Red Wings
Feb 26, 2023
Detroit Red Wings
0 : 3
Tampa Bay Lightning
