The Tampa Bay Lightning (26-19-3) welcome the Chicago Blackhawks (15-29-5) to Amalie Arena on Tuesday night in what promises to be an intriguing interconference matchup between teams heading in opposite directions.
The Lightning, who lead the NHL in scoring with 3.54 goals per game, are looking to bounce back from a 2-0 shutout loss to Detroit while maintaining their position in a tight Eastern Conference playoff race.
Chicago enters the contest amid a challenging 1-4-3 stretch in their last eight games, struggling with the league's second-worst offensive output at just 2.59 goals per game.
Recent history heavily favors the Lightning, who have dominated the series with nine wins in their last ten meetings, including a 4-3 overtime victory against Chicago earlier this season.
The contrast between Tampa Bay's league-leading offense and Chicago's defensive woes, allowing 3.45 goals per game, sets the stage for what could be an explosive offensive display at Amalie Arena.
With Andrei Vasilevskiy expected to start for Tampa Bay against Petr Mrazek for Chicago, this matchup features two veteran netminders who could play pivotal roles in determining the outcome of this cross-conference battle.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Chicago Blackhawks: who will win?
For tonight's Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks matchup, our predictive model gives the Lightning a 65.67% chance of defeating the Blackhawks.
Tampa Bay Lightning: 65.67% win probability
- Powerful offense (171 goals scored, among the highest in the league)
- Strong goal differential (+35, significantly better than opponent)
- Better overall record (26 wins in 48 games vs opponent's 15 wins in 49 games)
Chicago Blackhawks: 34.33% win probability
- Poor defensive record (170 goals against, among worst in Western Conference)
- Struggling offense (128 goals scored, lowest in their division)
- Poor recent form (LLLWL, showing consistent struggles)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Chicago Blackhawks odds
| Tampa Bay Lightning | Chicago Blackhawks | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline | -350 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) | +285 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
Key stats
- 1The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 26 out of 48 matches this season.
- 2The Chicago Blackhawks have won 15 out of 49 matches this season.
- 3With 55 points, the Tampa Bay Lightning holds the 8th position in the league standings.
- 4Chicago Blackhawks's 35 points place them 16th in the rankings.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Chicago Blackhawks form
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Chicago Blackhawks head to head
Tampa Bay Lightning
83%
Chicago Blackhawks
17%
Jan 25, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks
3 : 4
Tampa Bay Lightning
Nov 17, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks
2 : 4
Tampa Bay Lightning
Nov 10, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning
3 : 5
Chicago Blackhawks
Mar 12, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning
3 : 1
Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 4, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks
1 : 4
Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 1, 2022
Tampa Bay Lightning
5 : 2
Chicago Blackhawks
